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"Until you realize how easily it is for your mind to be manipulated, you remain the puppet of someone else's game." - Evita Ochel There's an old saying that uncertainty breeds opportunity, and if that's the case, there is plenty of opportunities now. While the overall severity and gove...
Purpose I look at the high frequency weekly indicators because while they can be very noisy, they provide a good nowcast of the economy, and will telegraph the maintenance or change in the economy well before monthly or quarterly data is available. They are also an excellent way to "mark y...
My normal economic analysis - which is based on the business cycle model developed by Arthur Burns and Geoffrey Moore - is not effective during the current situation when national productive capabilities are shut down for national health reasons. Instead, I'm using the National Pandemic Adju...
Overview: A 9.8% contraction of the Chinese economy in Q1 did not derail investor optimism today, which saw Asia Pacific stocks rally strongly after Gilead (GILD) reported very preliminary positive testing of its drug to fight the coronavirus and plans to re-open are developing. Japan's Nikk...
Earnings don’t move the overall market; it’s the Federal Reserve Board… focus on the central banks, and focus on the movement of liquidity… most people in the market are looking for earnings and conventional measures. It’s liquidity that moves markets. ...
By Robert Hughes The Empire State Manufacturing Survey from the New York Federal Reserve shows general business conditions deteriorated sharply again in April with the index posting a record 56.7-point drop to a -78.2 percent reading versus -21.5 in March. That is the lowest result on rec...
A lot of companies are reporting losses, of course. But there is nothing new in that. You will surely be surprised to hear that in the best of times ― the pre-coronavirus years, 2012-2018 ― 45%-49% of all U.S. public companies reported an annual loss. In the best economy in dec...
Here's a quick compilation of charts that exhibit never-before-seen moves in various economic indices. Taken together, they illustrate just how much the current shutdown of the US economy is something we've never seen before. And to think it was all the result of the appearance of a novel coro...
The equity market's rally off of the bear market low on March 23 rd has taken pause with the S&P 500 more or less flat over the past week. With lack of a push higher, optimistic sentiment has waned. The American Association of Individual Investors ' weekly sentiment survey saw 34.86% of ...
The deep recession triggered by the coronavirus is the worst downturn since the Great Depression, but the hope is that the rebound will be equally swift and strong-a 'V' recovery. Unfortunately, the outlook for this best-case scenario is precarious. Some Federal Reserve officials are managin...
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Actively managed funds designed to provide investors and advisors with differentiated tools for accessing income-generating investments. Infrastructure Capital Advisors (“InfraCap”), a leading provider of investment management solutions designed to meet the needs of in...
Actively managed fund is designed to provide investors and advisors with a value-focused, differentiated tool for accessing income-generating small cap equity exposure Infrastructure Capital Advisors (“InfraCap”), a leading provider of investment management solutions d...