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Investment strategies of long duration become habits, and it is difficult to change habits. One should not attempt to change habits or strategies on a whim. A change should be carefully considered. In weighing choices, the factors leading up to a decision are usually mixed. Further, the timing...
What happened last week, and what it may mean for the market in 2020. The Narrative The narrative has flipped from 'this is really bad' to 'let's reopen the economy.' We've moved from pessimism to optimism. And based on the stock market, investors appear to be buying into the optimistic ...
"Those who do not study history are condemned to repeat it." And the rest of us are condemned to repeat George Santayana. Will the Coronavirus Recession of 2020 be V-shaped? Or U-shaped? If we fail to heed the lessons of history it is likely to be W-shaped, with incipient recovery followed b...
I believe that man will not merely endure: he will prevail. He is immortal, not because he alone among creatures has an inexhaustible voice, but because he has a soul, a spirit capable of compassion and sacrifice and endurance. - William Faulkner The Governor of Georgia lifted our stay...
By James J. Puplava " How did you go bankrupt?" "Two ways. Gradually, then suddenly." - Ernest Hemingway , The Sun Also Rises "To summarize, each price-revolution developed through five stages: slow beginnings in a period of high prosperity; a period of surge and decline; a time of disco...
Some investors seem to believe that the rate of change of the Fed balance sheet expansion will lead to an era of inflation or stagflation. Charts in the subsequent section will demonstrate that this is clearly not the case. The near to medium term future is one of debt deflation. Due to jobles...
Pictured: The US economy at the end of February. Warner Brothers The Next Step Is A Doozy The preliminary Q1 GDP report, just issued, is a bit of a strange beast. All indications are that January was a decent month, and February a little softer, but still roughly on the lukewarm ~2% annu...
The Covid-19 viral pandemic that hit our shores in early 2020 shut down the economy to a virtual halt, and unemployment has skyrocketed to an estimated 19%, as 30 million people have now filed for unemployment benefits over the last six weeks ( see chart below ). Shockingly, we have not seen j...
This past Friday our webinar looking at contrarian indicators included commentary on the level of cash in money market mutual funds. The below money market chart is an update from the one in the webinar and the chart shows cash levels continue to rise, now equaling $4.73 trillion. Clearly th...
By Jeff Weniger, CFA So much for crashes bringing valuations back to Earth. Here we are in the middle of an economic depression - one that maybe lasts a few months, or maybe one that goes on for a long while - and yet the Russell 1000 Growth Index is still trading for 27 times trailing ...
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Actively managed funds designed to provide investors and advisors with differentiated tools for accessing income-generating investments. Infrastructure Capital Advisors (“InfraCap”), a leading provider of investment management solutions designed to meet the needs of in...
Actively managed fund is designed to provide investors and advisors with a value-focused, differentiated tool for accessing income-generating small cap equity exposure Infrastructure Capital Advisors (“InfraCap”), a leading provider of investment management solutions d...