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Note: The previous monthly update can be seen in the May 13 article titled " The Probability Of A U.S. Recession - May 2020 . " While there has been an official declaration of U.S. recession on June 8, 2020 (as discussed in the " Recession Declared For The United States By The NBER BCDC...
Note: This report was originally published on May 26th on Value Investor's Edge , a Seeking Alpha subscription service. Nothing has been changed from the original version. Overview Several of you asked for it - so here it is. In this report we will look closely at the supply side ...
Our basic problem As I've been saying for some months now we just don't know. Sure, there have been economies that have fallen apart through bad policy - take your pick of Mugabe, Maduro and whichever American President you don't like. There are economies which have been driven into differen...
We're all desperate for a quick economic recovery, but desperation can be the enemy of informed thinking for looking ahead. As an example, consider recent commentary in some corners that a V-shaped economic recovery (a strong, quick bounce-back) for the US is likely because that's the usual pa...
You may remember, when Bill Clinton was running for re-election in 1992 against George H.W. Bush, there was a campaign slogan that was developed to get people to focus on what was most important in deciding who to vote for. That slogan was "It's the economy, stupid". Today, as incumbent D...
A tug-of-war between Wall Street bulls and bears continues to rage on in the course of most stock market debates. Source: The Insurance Journal On one side we have the bull case that the economy will snap back quickly, leading to a "V"-shaped economic recovery, while the bear case relies...
Those who have a microphone or speak from a podium often make top-down pronouncements. When one is paying for advice it usually leads to a discussion of the positives and negatives elements identified by the professional. After further discussion, the professional concludes the evaluation with...
I think there has been more hair torn out in frustration during this rally off the 2200SPX region lows than at almost any other time in market history. The frustration in trying to understand this market is ubiquitous. As the unemployment numbers get worse and worse, the market continues to ...
Maybe it's because I am at a stage that everything makes me wary. Maybe I am just an old scardey-cat. Whatever it is, the bulls have been winning and dividend growth stocks that got crushed are on their way up again and this market continues to ignore the current economy, facts and fundamental...
While it's only been a week since the Governor of Georgia lifted our stay at home order things seem to be getting back to some sort of normality - at least in the Reilly house. To give you some background, one of our most frequently requested blog posts was "Wanna Save $100,000 on College?" ....
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Actively managed funds designed to provide investors and advisors with differentiated tools for accessing income-generating investments. Infrastructure Capital Advisors (“InfraCap”), a leading provider of investment management solutions designed to meet the needs of in...
Actively managed fund is designed to provide investors and advisors with a value-focused, differentiated tool for accessing income-generating small cap equity exposure Infrastructure Capital Advisors (“InfraCap”), a leading provider of investment management solutions d...