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Among all viral topics, which are at the top of the global economic agenda, I'd like to focus on a likely post- COVID V-shaped recovery, but from a slightly different perspective. When in March-May 2020 many governments announced their plans to support national economies by adopting massive st...
The concern over corporate debt is a growing concern. I have been a contributor to this concern as the depth of the problem continues to grow. Global debt is soaring. US government debt is soaring. And, so day this debt burden is going to have to be dealt with," I wrote. And the burd...
Today's DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims shows no improvement in the employment situation. The non-seasonal adjusted initial claims at 1,457,373 is near the previous weeks level, but the non-seasonal adjusted continuous insured unemployed at 17,921,282 are 0.5 million below the previ...
Introduction Last week housing permits and starts for May were reported, followed by existing and new home sales yesterday and today, respectively. All but existing home sales showed a rebound. Because housing is such an important long leading indicator for the economy 12+ months out, this i...
Unemployment Claims Weekly claims were 200,000 higher than expected last week at 1.57 million, and if we include the self-employed receiving Pandemic Unemployment Assistance, the number increases to 2.2 million. That is virtually unchanged from the week before. Notable is the fact that the n...
This post follows up on " What Determines When a Recession is Recession ?" which pointed out some drawbacks of defining a recession by two negative quarters of growth. In some countries there is another, more fundamental, basis for questioning the two-quarter rule for determining reces...
Financial Market Head Fakes In basketball, a head fake is a maneuver where the dribbler attempts to guide a defender away from the intended path by means of a head sway. The goal is to disorient the defender who follows the dribbler's head instead of the body. The stock market is undergoing ...
An eventful 2020 so far. At the end of last year, I published an article on Seeking Alpha entitled 5 Bold Predictions For The Decade Ahead . I anticipated at the time that these events would likely take years to begin to unfold if at all. So it is notable that some have already started to p...
In yesterday's press conference following the Fed's two-day meeting, Chairman Powell reiterated that he would do " whatever it takes " to support the economy by using all the Fed's tools. The problem is that the toolbox is practically empty, and the tools remaining have been misused and worn o...
Please note: This is the latest in a series of articles, the last being " Charts Implying Economic Weakness - May 2020 ." U.S. Economic Indicators Throughout this site there are many discussions of economic indicators. This post is the latest in a series of posts indicating U.S. economi...
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Actively managed fund is designed to provide investors and advisors with a value-focused, differentiated tool for accessing income-generating small cap equity exposure Infrastructure Capital Advisors (“InfraCap”), a leading provider of investment management solutions d...