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Summary How far will policy rates need to go to tame inflation and is a recession imminent? Until central banks see a significant decline in wage growth, they’re likely to keep conditions tighter for longer. There’s evidence that conditions may continue to suppor...
Summary Active central banks may create attractive opportunities for discretionary macro managers who can take advantage of higher volatility, higher rates and dynamic policy changes. The Russia-Ukraine conflict remains a large overhang across almost the entire commodity complex. ...
Summary Chief Investment Officer Jon Maier and Head of Thematic Solutions Scott Helfstein offer their perspectives on the current investing landscape in what has been an extremely difficult year for investors. Signs suggest that producer prices have started to slow, and there are ...
Summary Global GDP growth is still expected to be positive in 2022 (excluding Russia) but is expected to fall fairly dramatically in 2023. The U.S. Q3 2022 earnings season has just begun, and the outlook is for lower but still positive revenue and earnings growth. Inflation wi...
Summary Bear markets create opportunities for much greater and much faster profits than bull markets. So far in 2022, investors have sold everything, especially in recent months: stocks, bonds, gold, currencies, real estate, art, etc. This is common to the way that bear markets be...
Summary At the beginning of 2022, our most reliable stock market valuation measures stood at record levels, beyond even their 1929 and 2000 extremes. In our evaluation of market conditions, it’s useful to consider market conditions from the standpoint of multiple time horiz...
Summary Equities attempted a rebound from the initial knee-jerk plunge in the wake of yet another consensus-beating U.S. CPI print last week. But the S&P 500 fell 2.4% on Friday, finishing the week with a 1.8% loss. It is difficult to see anything but pain in equities as long ...
Summary A mood of gloom hangs over markets and retail investors. Bearish commentators raise anxiety in already-skittish market participants. The pessimism is overdone. Investors should look past the negative commentary and stick to a strategic plan. Introduction: T...
Summary As has been the case in recent weeks, the stock market finds itself in a position where various technical factors, market internals, positioning and sentiment are suggesting this sell-off may be overdone and a short-covering rally due. While the ‘pain trade’ ...
Summary An imminent recession is predicted by Bloomberg probability models that now forecast a 100% likelihood of a US recession hitting by October 2023, up from 65% for the comparable period in the previous update. Record rate hikes in 2022 have rendered the most negative 10-year...
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2024-06-02 21:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-04 15:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-25 14:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...