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2023-12-31 08:25:00 ET Summary The latest calculation of the PCE Index shows a downward trend in inflation, with the year-over-year growth rate at 2.6%. The Fed is expected to slash interest rates next year, leading to celebrations in the stock and bond markets. The markets ha...
2023-12-25 17:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-12-11 15:21:25 ET Summary Both nominal and real rates are down across the curve. The catch is that the curve now embeds some very aggressive Fed easing assumptions. Buying long-duration TIPS doesn’t offer a particularly attractive risk/reward here. Treasu...
2023-12-11 14:15:00 ET Summary We think U.S. bond markets are underestimating how difficult it might be to fight inflation. We'll have confirmation one way or another starting next Tuesday. Schwab U.S. TIPS ETF™ contains TIPS, and an effective duration of around 7 years, wh...
2023-12-09 09:15:00 ET Summary The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports 199,000 new payroll gains and a drop in the unemployment rate from 3.9% to 3.7%. The upcoming Consumer Price Index report and Federal Open Market Committee decision on interest rates will be closely watched. ...
2023-12-08 02:30:00 ET Summary Recent US inflation data shows that core PCE is close to the Fed's 2% target, indicating that the Fed may be done with its hiking cycle. The peak in the 10-year Treasury may have already been reached, with a 70 basis point decline in November. Th...
2023-12-06 12:15:00 ET Summary We are likely at the end of the Fed’s hiking cycle, but don’t anticipate rate cuts until the second half of 2024. The shape of the yield curve and the trajectory of growth will be key drivers of returns. Investors piled into cash in 202...
2023-11-29 23:05:20 ET Summary I bonds were one of the most popular investments of the past two years and with good reason. As inflation skyrocketed, so did I bond yields, leading these investments to outperform most other asset classes at almost no risk. As inflation plummets...
2023-11-28 01:30:00 ET Summary We turn more positive on short- to medium-term developed market (DM) sovereign bonds in our latest strategic update. We trim DM stocks to neutral. Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields steadied after their drop from 16-year highs. We think yields will stay v...
2023-11-18 03:15:00 ET Summary For investors, there are a variety of reasons to give thanks this year, including turkey prices that are lower today than they were last year. The US inflation rate peaked over a year ago, and the market expects that Federal Reserve rate hikes are ov...
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2024-04-14 13:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-15 12:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-04 23:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...