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So, you want to fade the reflation narrative? Or maybe you don't, I have no idea. What I do know is that headed into 2020, many Wall Street year-ahead outlook pieces have coalesced around the view that some 70 rate cuts across the globe are set to manifest themselves in better economic out...
"Laughably good," is how one might very fairly describe the performance of US equities in 2019. The S&P put the finishing touches on a fourth weekly gain Friday, but the really impressive part is that the benchmark has risen in ten of the last eleven weeks. Do note that the only down we...
The U.S. Treasury just announced that its $15 billion reopening auction of a 5-year TIPS, CUSIP 912828YL8, generated a real yield to maturity of 0.020%, the lowest for this auction term since April 2017. This TIPS currently trades on the secondary market, and it had been trading two hours...
2019 finishes with an extra kick for investors. Part of that is the continued strong run of the market, erasing memories of last year's near bear market and extending the decade long bull. There are also plenty of market headlines and events that have sprung over the end of the year, from Phas...
The U.S. Treasury will be offering $15 billion in a reopened five-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Investment on Thursday. Over the last several years, this December TIPS auction has been one of the most attractive each year. Not this year, though. Last year, on Dec. 17, I wrote an articl...
The visceral reaction to a bond with a yield of 2% makes sense. It has become common for investment strategists to ridicule bonds as an investment due to the low "yield," without consideration for the regime of economic growth (accelerating or decelerating), or the myriad of portfolio benefit...
The U.S. Treasury's auction of $12 billion in a reopened 10-year TIPS generated a real yield to maturity of 0.149%, the lowest for any auction of this maturity since September 2016. This is CUSIP 9128287D6, a 10-year TIPS that had an originating auction on July 18, 2019. It carries a coupon ...
In this article we will discuss the longer-term outlook for global interest rates and in particular longer-dated bond yields (NYSE: TLT ). The main purpose of this article is not to make any predictions over the short-term but serve as guidepost for potential shifts in deep secular trends th...
The U.S. Treasury on Thursday will auction $12 billion in a reopening of CUSIP 9128287D6 , creating a 9-year, 8-month Treasury Inflation-Protected Security. This TIPS was created in an originating auction on July 18, with a real yield to maturity (at that time) of 0.282% and a resulting cou...
The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.4% in October on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today . Over the last 12 months, "headline" inflation increased 1.8%. Both numbers topped the consensus forecast of 0.3% for October i...
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2024-07-24 11:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-14 13:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 13:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...