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Current economic data is certainly strong - although not universally so - but the bond and currency markets may be pointing to some weakness ahead. The copper to gold ratio which peaked in early March, leading bond yields by a full month, has recently resumed its uptrend. The comm...
I believe that those investing in the broad stock market indexes are taking a lot of risk right now, and that it would serve them well to hold some bonds. At present, the 10-year Treasury note is priced to return 1.57%/year. The concept of avoiding a bigger loss is a tough one for...
Refinitiv Lipper's fund-flows week ended with weekly gains among all U.S. broad-based indices as well as the Dax 30 and FTSE 100. Exchange-traded equity funds recorded their tenth straight week of net inflows (+$3.2 billion). The top three equity ETFs to attract capital over the c...
In the latest U.S. weekly fund flow insight report by Refinitiv Lipper ending April 14th, 2021, data points to the fact that investors were net redeemers of fund assets for the first week out of the past ten.Market participants withdrew -$14B out of the marketplace, which is significant in na...
By promising to remain super-accommodative for at least a year or so, the Fed runs the real risk of allowing inflation and inflation expectations to run wild. Back in February of last year, a casual observer would have remarked that Treasury yields were exceptionally - and historicall...
I have explained many times that central banks worry that falling inflation (disinflation) and outright deflation reduce the incentive for spending and capital flow into financial markets. The US Fed has gobbled up just over 24% of the outstanding TIPS market in 2021. Taking the b...
The biggest positive influence for stocks would be that the Fed increases the amount of money it puts into bonds, which is still unknown. After a torrid March, volume in the options market had fallen off some, resulting in a slower trading pace for stocks early in the week, until Frid...
Global stocks rose in the first quarter, but volatile trading patterns reminded investors that the road to normal will be bumpy. Solid market gains masked rapidly changing market conditions. Perhaps the biggest overriding risk that surfaced in early 2021 is the power of a sentimen...
Market-based measures of inflation indicate that it will remain quiescent. Labor markets show little, if any, indication of wage inflation. Recent increases in commodity prices and treasury yields have occurred many times in the past 3 decades, without spurring inflation. Fo...
The stock market continues in its 2021 uptrend, and the options market remains a significant influence on stock prices. Earlier this year, I suggested that shares of energy drink company Monster would be interesting as they were engaged in a caffeine war with Starbucks. Stocks are...
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2024-07-24 11:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-14 13:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 13:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...