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Geopolitical headlines will have helped, but front-end rates have more reasons to ease back from extremes. In the US, the Fed mulling MBS sales offers an alternate tightening avenue, and in the UK, the BoE's pushback against aggressive pricing should find a more prominent platform nex...
A lot of the heavy lifting of inflation protection comes more at a corporate level. Yields and treasuries are incredibly low. To participate in a market that should be reasonable as we go forward, but also defend against the risks of inflation that all of us are facing nowadays. ...
The bond market is still in a very confused state as the government and many high-grade companies can borrow at rates that are below the rate of inflation. Furthermore, the financial markets are in so much disorder now that any "tentative" Fed actions to stem inflation will fall far s...
All assets except commodities suffered losses in January 2022. The world is concerned about inflation. It is not transitory. Fighting inflation hurts the stock market. So does not fighting. For further details see: January Investment Losses Are Just The Beginning
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index edged down in January from the previous month’s estimate. Using short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors to adjust the forecast reduces GMI’s ex-ante risk premium to an annualized 5.4%. Th...
Popular measures of inflation such as the CPI and the PPI are backward-looking, but the financial markets are always trying to look forward. An implication is that prices in the financial markets are influenced to a far greater degree by changes in the expected future CPI (inflation e...
Per the Fed’s November 2021 estimates for Industrial Production in the United States, American domestic crude and natural gas output continues to be constrained. And not by a little. Compared to the prior peak way back almost two years ago, the amount of overall energy pulled o...
For those who have experienced whopping gains in growth stocks, it is now time to think about inflation protection. There are several investment vehicles for this purpose, but I select the Schwab U.S. TIPS ETF (SCHP) which holds Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities. SCHP, with ...
The ETF issuer Global X has outlined its 2022 market outlook. They expect the market to pay closer attention to fundamentals heading into 2022 and highlight concerns around the Fed and inflation. Below is a breakdown of Global X's 2022 perspective and a handful of ETFs that investors can play...
The ETF issuer Global X has outlined its 2022 market outlook. They expect the market to pay closer attention to fundamentals heading into 2022 and highlight concerns around the Fed and inflation. Below is a breakdown of Global X's 2022 perspective and a handful of ETFs that investors can play...
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2024-06-14 13:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 13:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-15 12:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...