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2023-10-26 23:50:00 ET Summary Q3 GDP came in at a boomy 4.9%. The primary drivers were inventories and personal consumption, at 1.3% and 2.69%. The inventory rebuild is a volatile component, but the consumption figure is impressive and reflects the most important component of GDP...
2023-10-26 07:30:00 ET Summary Gold got a new lease on life in October, up over 12% month-to-date on interest rate-driven recession fears and the recent armed action between Israel and Hamas. Bitcoin has soared since September, up 28%, in part on flight-to-safety buying and in par...
2023-10-25 05:48:57 ET Summary Bond market performance has been negative for three consecutive years, with the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF down over 50% from its peak. Falling bond prices are attributed to the Fed's anti-inflation campaign and the US government's large budg...
2023-10-25 02:55:00 ET Summary In January 2023 the clues appeared to be aligning in favor of an end to the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes. Fast forward to today, and once again the numbers leave room for speculating that rate hikes have peaked. Rate cuts are a separate is...
2023-10-24 14:48:00 ET Summary What growth surprises mean for interest rates. Why consumer spending trends are making the Fed's job harder. Divergence trends emerging in the bond market. U.S. Treasury yields have reached highs not seen since 2007. Alexandra Gorewicz,...
2023-10-24 12:45:00 ET Summary The release of the September "dot plot" started the recent rally in the 10-year US Treasury yield. There's also an imbalance in supply and demand for Treasury bonds. Most US mortgages are long-term fixed-rate mortgages at relatively low rates, so I d...
2023-10-24 08:41:00 ET Related stories The Budget Deficit: Increasing At A Challenging Pace, And The Impact On TLT Fed Focus, Loving + Hating Earnings Season, Bonds Competing With Stocks U.S. Treasury returns set for worst month this year; Ackman short bet pays off ...
2023-10-24 03:21:00 ET Summary While some argue that inflation remains a concern in 2023, it certainly is trending in the right direction. The consensus is that 2023 will witness a small decline in corporate earnings but then improve again as we move into Q4 and 2024. Credit s...
2023-10-23 12:05:00 ET Summary U.S. corporate earnings have stagnated with the economy. We stay selective in stocks and harness mega forces like artificial intelligence as key profit centers. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hit 16-year highs near 5.0% last week, while U.S. stocks ...
2023-10-23 11:05:00 ET Summary Yields on the US 10-year are up nearly 150bp since April, within touching distance of 5%, and 30-year yields are now just over 5%, up from 3.7% in April. The two-year yield is up just 100bp over the same period. The yield curve has bear-steepened by ...
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2024-06-14 13:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 23:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 13:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...