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2024-06-05 14:15:00 ET Summary After yesterday’s news that US job openings fell to a three-year low in April, the data fueled the incentive for the bond market to reassess the view that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer. The 2-year rate continue...
2024-06-05 03:40:00 ET Summary Currency in circulation grew at a fairly steady pace of 6.6% per year from 2010 through 2019. It then exploded upward in the wake of the massive Covid stimulus spending. Tight inflation has fallen, real yields are relatively high, and interest-sensit...
2024-06-03 23:50:00 ET Summary Once again, stocks did not disappoint on Friday as the S&P 500 Index delivered another rare 100 point plus daily range. Based on futures trading, Friday’s range in both the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ 100 indexes was slightly larger than th...
2024-06-03 08:05:00 ET Summary It’s remarkable how strong the US economy has been, given the jump in interest rates. “Annual” returns for various fixed-income asset classes look pretty grim. A flat US jobs market, with a gradually rising unemployment rate ...
2024-06-01 03:00:00 ET Summary The Fed’s balance sheet shrunk by $118B in May - the largest amount since September of last year. When the Fed makes money, it sends it back to the Treasury. This has netted the Treasury close to $100B a year. International holdings have i...
2024-06-01 01:45:00 ET Summary The Treasury yield curve has been inverted between the 10-year and 2-year maturities for 500 days. Prior to the current inversion, which started in 2022, the 10-2 curve has inverted on four occasions since 1987. It still may be too early to concl...
2024-05-31 06:00:00 ET Summary Is the 60/40 portfolio still viable? How alternatives can help diversify your portfolio. Ways to integrate alts into a traditional portfolio. ... Read the full article on Seeking Alpha For further details see: Is It ...
2024-05-31 01:20:00 ET Summary Europe seems extremely likely to cut rates in June, in my view, as progress on inflation has been significant. Inflation has slowed, and I give the Bank of Canada a 50/50 chance of a rate cut at its June meeting. The Federal Reserve seems poised ...
2024-05-30 04:10:00 ET Summary In Q1 2024, unrealized losses on securities held by commercial banks increased by $39 billion from Q4 to a cumulative loss of $517 billion. The securities are mostly Treasury securities and government-guaranteed MBS that don’t produce credit l...
2024-05-28 04:00:00 ET Summary A recent poll conducted by Harris and the UK news outlet The Guardian produced some interesting results. The reporting on this has been mostly political because the poll also found that 58% blame the Biden administration for the current state of the ...
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2024-06-14 13:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 23:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 13:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...