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2023-10-10 01:03:00 ET Summary It’s hard to blame the bulls for their good cheer of late. Spiking inflation no longer dominates the headlines even as the U.S. economy has rebounded toward its long-term trend. Meanwhile, the labor market has started to ease (perhaps reducing...
2023-10-06 10:00:00 ET Summary Just when you thought it was safe to assume that the soft-landing fix was in, the bond market has thrown a wrench into the machine. Reading the latest headlines suggests that a recession in the near term is once again a high, or at least higher, risk...
2023-10-06 09:36:20 ET Summary September job creation exceeded expectations with 336,000 jobs added, the largest gain since January. The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 3.8% and average hourly earnings rose 4.2% from last year. Treasury yields surged and equity futures...
2023-10-05 12:10:15 ET Summary Schwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF has a portfolio of 1,750 small-cap U.S. stocks and has been rangebound in 2023. Investors should be aware of the volatility of small-cap stocks, which can be more volatile than large-cap stocks. SCHA's valuation is reaso...
2023-10-02 06:00:00 ET Summary Even if we have a recession soon, we don't have to have another bear market. Cash investments like T-bills are paying well right now but historically, today's rates are just a little above average. Both the 10-year Treasury yield and the dollar r...
2023-09-29 07:30:00 ET Summary The combination of easing inflation and a cooling labor market has fueled “soft landing” hopes among economists and Federal Reserve officials. Economic growth, the labor market, and consumer spending proved unexpectedly resilient despit...
2023-09-26 10:10:00 ET Summary Late last year, and into early 2023, the crowd was all in on the inevitability of a US recession starting in the near future. As noted by CapitalSpectator.com last week, recent nowcasts from a range of sources reflect a median nowcast of 3%-plus grow...
2023-09-21 21:30:00 ET Summary The Fed’s September 2023 decision not to change interest rates highlights two problems in monetary policy: time lags and uncertainty of economic models and forecasts. The good news is that we have more non-government data sources than ever bef...
2023-09-19 07:30:00 ET Summary The probability the U.S. economy will experience an official period of recession has begun to recede. The Recession Probability Track shows the current probability of a recession being officially determined to have begun sometime in the next 12 month...
2023-09-15 08:15:00 ET Summary The US economy is showing progress in addressing inflation, but the Federal Reserve is likely to maintain a "higher for longer" policy. Weakness in the labor market and signs of a rebalancing may give the Fed comfort in cooling the economy and return...
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2024-05-23 23:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 23:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...