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Risk-adjusted performance continued to rise in August for the Global Market Index. Sharpe ratios in global markets generally are elevated. GMI represents a theoretical benchmark for the “optimal” portfolio. For further details see: Major Asset Classes | Aug...
The market is now reaching the target region I outlined much earlier this year. I still think it's reasonable to expect a 300-point pullback in the coming weeks. The next higher target I have for the market in its next rally phase is the 4900-5000SPX region. For further deta...
Global manufacturing remained beset by unprecedented supply issues in July, which constrained output and drove prices higher. The analysis of survey responses suggests that the number of companies reporting lower production due to staff or materials shortages is running at around five...
Remarkably, in a speech on monetary policy given at the Jackson Hole conference last Friday, Jay Powell never mentioned money, money supply, M1 or M2. With the Biden administration unable to reduce its budget deficit, a rising interest rate environment, reflecting price inflation, is ...
Initial claims for regular state unemployment insurance totaled 340,000 for the week ending August 28, a drop of 14,000 from the previous week’s revised tally of 354,000. The surging number of Covid cases due to the Delta variant continues to cloud the outlook for economic grow...
After a slow start to the year, the spring and summer months brought our clients hot weather and even hotter returns. According to consensus estimates, earnings for the companies that comprise the S&P 500 are expected to grow by 45% in 2021. The fundamentals of the North Ameri...
Looking at the growing trend of reassessing and moving towards a more updated, post-modern portfolio theory (MPT) risk management and portfolio construction process. Interview explores an investment philosophy and process which is described as a modernized approach to tactical investi...
Given the sizeable skew in the distribution of outcomes toward negative real returns, it's extremely important to be selective in high-quality fixed income, and to be truly vested in one’s investments so that portfolios are not permanently impaired. In the short term, the commo...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market (GMI) ticked up in August, reaching an annualized 6.1%, slightly above the previous month’s estimate. Despite the comparatively high GMI forecast, the current estimate remains well below the index’s realized risk premium fo...
It's been about a year since the S&P 500 saw a notable correction of approximately 10%. At the same time, the Fed taper and the growing coronavirus threat will likely put a dent into economic growth and corporate earnings. Stock valuations are high right now, and ultra-bullish...
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2024-05-23 23:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 23:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...