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As the current financial situation has gained more and more attention, the Federal Reserve System and its leader, Jerome Powell, have garnered more and more press. Times are good when the Federal Reserve draws no attention from the press, so that a time like this can be looked upon as...
Tuesday, September 28, 2021 showed us a very predictable market reaction to No New News, save greater conviction that inflation may not be that transient and rates will be going up. Market participants (including their computers) have been conditioned by the media to react in this way...
The Fed has painted itself into a corner where it is now pressured to start tapering its quantitative easing earlier than it had been indicating. Now we are seeing signs that the bond market isn’t liking the news out of the last FOMC meeting, which hinted strongly that the Fed ...
We stay tactically pro-risk amid the broadening economic restart, with negative real rates supporting risk assets - as per our new nominal theme. The Fed signaled it will start to taper around the year-end. Its reluctance to confirm inflation is meeting its new objective supports our ...
The post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows. The reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earning...
There was a serious inventory problem, a dangerous buildup which had been building since the middle of the year before getting more and more out of balance. The vicious part of the inventory cycle had already begun by the time the first rate cut was announced, with wholesalers, in par...
Financial markets tumbled on the Monday preceding the meeting. The projections provide further evidence of progress towards the Committee’s inflation objectives but not quite as strong as had been expected. It was clear that uncertainty about the path for the Delta variant ...
US equities have not been having a bad time recently, but have certainly been struggling to go higher. China's slowdown, Evergrande contagion worries, supply chain disruptions, energy price surges, an appreciating dollar, rising Treasury yields, US debt ceiling anxiety, lingering Covi...
The Consumer Confidence Index from The Conference Board fell again in September, falling 5.9 points or 5.1 percent to 109.3. September was the third decline in a row and puts the index 19.6 points below the June 2021 peak. Both major components of the index fell for the month. The...
Valuations are high and need to contract. The Fed is tapering and that will tighten financial conditions. The market internals are everything but healthy. For further details see: The S&P May Rise To 5,000 Someday, Just Not Anytime Soon
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2024-05-23 23:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 23:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...