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We now prefer U.S. and Japanese equities over European stocks due to the energy shock. We stay underweight bonds because of the inflationary backdrop. Bond yields sprinted higher last week, with U.S. 10-year Treasuries hitting near three-year highs. Signs of weakening economic activit...
High-frequency economic data are important because of the insight generated about the economy and the possible impact on policy. In the bond market, the Chinese 10-year premium has collapsed. It last finished above 100 bp on March 7. Bedeviled by Covid and natural disasters, the J...
Investors appear remarkably calm at the moment given the level of uncertainty we’re facing this year, from inflation to interest rates and even Covid, when you consider China is still embracing lockdowns. Throw soaring commodity prices into the mix and there’s plenty of ...
Preliminary PMI survey data showed only a modest impact from the Ukraine war on current economic growth in the world's largest developed economies in March. Business activity continued to grow strongly across the G4 developed economies of the US, eurozone, UK and Japan in March. G...
Preliminary PMI survey output indicators rose in Japan and Australia during March. Supply chain constraints and worsening price pressures have become more pronounced following the Ukraine crisis. Rising cost pressures and geopolitical uncertainty weighed on the business outlook am...
The global economy is facing an incredible amount of uncertainty at the moment which is continuing to drive the volatility we’re seeing in financial markets. Whether it’s uncertainty around inflation, interest rates, commodity prices, Covid or Ukraine, the growth outlook...
March PMI data will therefore be scrutinised for the impact of these events on various economic metrics such as output, supply chains, prices and upon the sole sentiment PMI sub-index - the future output index. Since the eruption of the Ukraine crisis on February 24, commodity prices ...
There are several high-frequency data points that often provide trading fodder for short-term participants, including US PPI, retail sales, industrial output, and housing starts. The individual projections for the Fed funds target rate draw the most attention. In December, five of...
It’s been another volatile week in financial markets with events in and around Ukraine continuing to dominate. This in turn creates huge uncertainty around the global economic outlook, with soaring commodity prices a massive downside risk for growth and upside risk for inflatio...
What is going on in Japan’s sovereign bond market and have JGBs awoken from their slumber? Japan faces even bigger questions around the persistency of inflation and whether the BOJ will move away from YCC. Between now and the spring of 2023, JGB volatility may be higher tha...
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2024-05-23 23:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 13:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...