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Recently, downticks in Treasury yields are being met with selling pressure in value indexes and stocks. The stock market can’t make up its mind. Does it want high yields or low yields? This confusion is because inflation numbers are rising and interest rates are falling, which ...
Around the world, we are told that prices and sentiment are changing in an unexpected way. In scanning the present scene, I see lots of issues that should be reviewed, both in terms of numbers as well as structural concerns. Following the principle of winning by not losing, I sugg...
The best investing advice that we could give back in May was to “Sell in May and go away”. That advice really means to get your exposure smaller and do nothing. That served us well this past Monday as the Dow Jones fell over 700 points and then spent the rest of the week...
Given the fuss about the goods buying mania, if the whole domestic system were to match or even approach it, one would think this alleged inflationary boom would have to keep something like the CFNAI far above 0. However, the latest reading for June 2021 at just 0.09 indicates growth bare...
Initial claims for regular state unemployment insurance totaled 419,000 for the week ending July 17, a rise of 51,000 from the previous week’s tally of 368,000. The revised results suggest weekly initial claims may be plateauing around the 400,000 level. The number of ongoing c...
Vix spikes as volatility rattles the Dow. The advantage of using options strategies when markets turn volatile. How investors can use sector rotations. For further details see: Navigating Market Uncertainty And Higher Volatility
Growth-oriented asset classes are likely to shine, but not equally. Above-trend growth is a supportive environment of risky assets like equities or credit. On valuation grounds, equities are looking a little cheaper. Geraldine Sundstrom and Erin Browne discuss PIMCO’s views...
It would be normal for markets to go sideways over the summer months, especially considering the fast spread of the Covid Delta variant, and more cases globally. Other obvious triggers for a consolidation would be a more aggressive signaling for a change in Fed policy, which is unlike...
A majority of BlackRock investors in a recent survey felt that inflation would be transitory. Yet, they also felt the market might overreact to the inflation data, making some portfolio protection prudent. Economically sensitive cyclical stocks have had a very strong run since the ann...
Strategas Managing Director and Head of Fixed Income Research Tom Tzitzouris breaks down the recent action in the bond market. He hits on the hotter-than-expected inflation data, the Fed’s actions, and his outlook for interest rates. He also discusses another headwind appro...