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2024-04-08 15:00:00 ET Summary The bond market outlook has improved as expected rate cuts align more closely with the Fed. Easing financial conditions from asset price changes may lead to continued uncertainty around policy restrictiveness, undermining the urgency and need for pol...
2024-04-08 11:27:35 ET Summary On our last update on GOVZ, we gave it a Strong Sell based on our outlook for no rate cuts. GOVZ has underperformed SPY by 80% on an annualized basis and that is one of the largest on record. We look at where things stand and update our thesis. ...
2024-04-08 10:45:02 ET Barclays plc (BCS) BCS is trading UP for the last 5 days, and it at trading at $9.88 with volume of 7,217,673 and a one day change of $0.14 (1.39%). Barclays plc has a 52-week low of 6.23 and a 52-week high of $9.98. The business's 50-day moving average price ...
2024-04-08 09:00:00 ET Summary Looking forward, our base case is that the Fed engineers a soft landing and starts to normalize policy rates in the second half of the year. In recent quarters, large-cap technology has outperformed in both higher and lower rate regimes. The weig...
2024-04-07 22:17:48 ET Summary Predictions of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have decreased due to low unemployment and signs of an inflationary rebound. Short-term Treasuries in the ETF SGOV are expected to have increased benefits and pay a 5%+ yield for at least a year. SG...
2024-04-06 02:30:00 ET Summary We think the Fed peaked in July 2023. Technically, we won’t know for sure until they cut. But, had a Martian alien landed on Earth and simply eyeballed the current movement of the 10yr yield, they’d likely conclude that the Fed had not ...
2024-04-06 01:35:00 ET Summary As diligently as everyone is looking for signs of a consumer slowdown, the numbers keep telling us that household spending continues apace. The labor market is not showing signs of slowing. Friday’s report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics s...
2024-04-05 08:25:00 ET Summary By January 2025, the Federal Reserve is likely to be in an easing cycle, which may benefit the market regardless of who wins the election. A recent quote from Fed Chair Jerome Powell about the Fed, inflation, and confidence was music to my ears...
2024-04-05 07:05:00 ET Summary Every firm is expecting rate cuts anticipating a recession but there is no recession in sight. Employment has been rising with some believing the numbers are manipulated because they believed the PMI was literally screaming recession. Expectation...
2024-04-04 08:45:00 ET Summary The fundamental outlook for bonds remains questionable at best. The leading indicators of growth and inflation for 2024 suggest both dynamics could put upside pressure on yields. Sentiment toward bonds remains bullish as the consensus is for yiel...
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2024-06-24 14:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-14 15:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-02 23:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...