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2024-06-12 12:15:00 ET Summary The rate debate is far from settled. Instead, Wall Street is wrestling with what happens next! Central banks in Switzerland, Canada, and the eurozone have recently cut rates - and that’s fueling speculation the US Fed will have to follow befor...
2024-06-12 11:25:00 ET Summary A surprise 0.2% MoM core CPI inflation print after a similar reading for April core PCE deflator offers good news for the Fed in its fight to ease price pressures. This needs to become the trend after a series of far too hot readi...
2024-06-11 08:10:00 ET Summary We've been tracking a recession forecast model developed for the Federal Reserve Board by Jonathan Wright in 2006, which utilizes the U.S. Treasury yield curve as an input, while also factoring in the level of the Federal Fund Rate. In following mont...
2024-06-11 02:20:00 ET Summary As I have long said, the rest of the world is starting to cut rates in June – even if the Fed doesn’t follow suit. Since our Fed will now be lagging Europe in rate cuts, that means our rates will be higher, so “carry tradesȁ...
2024-06-10 16:10:00 ET Summary We stay overweight U.S. stocks ahead of the election, yet are cautious on bonds given the fiscal outlook. We focus on long-term positives in India and Mexico. U.S. stocks notched fresh highs last week and are up nearly 13% this year. The Bank of Cana...
2024-06-10 12:31:42 ET Summary BUCK ETF seeks to boost the yield on short-term treasuries through option strategies. The fund uses a combination of treasury bills and options on bond futures. BUCK has underperformed peers like SGOV (simple treasury ETF) over the past year. Whi...
2024-06-10 11:05:00 ET Summary Nonfarm payrolls rose 272,000 in May, rebounding sharply from April’s gain, with a gain that was well above the consensus forecast. The Fed funds futures market this morning is pricing in modest odds that the first rate cut will now arrive at ...
2024-06-10 10:00:00 ET Summary The employment report released last Friday offered contradictory views of the state of the economy. If we look at some of the other labor data available to us, like the JOLTS survey that was also released last week, a picture of a softening labor mar...
2024-06-08 12:46:01 ET Summary Stock markets reacted negatively to strong job growth data, hurting hopes of interest rate cuts from the Central Bank. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will issue a statement and announce its monetary policy rate decision on Wednesday. In...
2024-06-08 08:30:00 ET Summary If there are no cuts in 2024 (not our view), there is also little prospect for the 10yr yield to fall in a material manner. With real yields so low, inflation easing lower is not enough to justify lower yields. A key difference between the eurozo...
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2024-06-24 14:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-14 15:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-02 23:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...