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2024-07-02 15:05:00 ET Summary The U.S. economy has not entered a recession despite the inverted yield curve, which historically predicted recessions, and this may be due to the relatively solid labor market setting. The monthly Employment Situation report and the initial jobless ...
2024-07-02 12:03:26 ET The yield curve between the U.S. 2-Year Treasury yield ( US2Y ) and the U.S. 10-Year yield ( US10Y ) has narrowed to its tightest point in two months on Tuesday, as the longer-end US10Y continues to rise at a much faster pace than the shorter-end US2Y.... ...
2024-07-02 09:25:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 index surged +3.5% for the month. Despite the looming presidential election this November and the recent debate, the stock market has continued on a +56% bull market tear since the October 2023-low, eight months ago. The job and i...
2024-07-01 15:33:39 ET Summary The Treasury curve was up 1 basis point at 2 years and was up 11 basis points at 10 years over the last week. As a result, the current negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread narrowed to negative 35 basis points this week compared to negative 45 basi...
2024-07-01 14:55:00 ET Summary It appears increasingly clear a return to 2% inflation is an unlikely outcome anytime soon. Headline inflation looks to have bottomed, while the stickier services-heavy inflation measures below are slowly but surely losing downside momentum. What...
2024-07-01 14:20:00 ET Summary Every multi-year bull market in U.S. history eventually becomes overheated with above-average inflation. This is followed by a choppy, dramatic slowdown during which inflation unevenly declines while GDP growth decelerates and eventually goes negative. ...
2024-07-01 08:20:00 ET Summary Energy stocks were the best performer of the week, up 2.4% as crude oil rose 1%. On a sector basis, only three sectors beat the index this quarter, and all of them are AI-related in some way. Diversified strategies and the S&P 500 really star...
2024-06-30 12:50:00 ET Summary The first half of 2024 is drawing to a close today, and we have one more half year to go. The first six months of the year were perhaps most notable for steadily weaning the bond market off its fantasies of multiple rate cuts. All else being equa...
2024-06-30 08:30:00 ET Summary Markets are still enjoying a soft landing, defined as a world in which inflation is drifting lower, even if still-sticky in key areas, the global economy and labour markets remain unencumbered, and monetary policy is on track to ease modestly. In bon...
2024-06-30 06:00:00 ET Summary Inflation may be sailing toward trend, but uncertainties remain on the horizon for the economy and financial markets in the second half of the year. Macroeconomic backdrop is favorable for G10 bond markets, with slower nominal GDP growth enabling cen...
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2024-06-14 15:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-04 18:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-05 02:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...