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2024-06-10 22:15:00 ET Summary Because the stock market moved sharply and registered fresh all-time highs in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, many wonder if they have missed the boat. The issue is that we have three companies with $3 trillion (or very close to it) in market cap, and as...
2024-06-10 16:10:00 ET Summary We stay overweight U.S. stocks ahead of the election, yet are cautious on bonds given the fiscal outlook. We focus on long-term positives in India and Mexico. U.S. stocks notched fresh highs last week and are up nearly 13% this year. The Bank of Cana...
2024-06-10 13:24:40 ET Summary The Treasury curve was down 2 basis points at 2 years and was down 8 basis points at 10 years over the last week. As a result, the current negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread widened to negative 44 basis points this week, compared to negative 38 ...
2024-06-10 11:05:00 ET Summary Nonfarm payrolls rose 272,000 in May, rebounding sharply from April’s gain, with a gain that was well above the consensus forecast. The Fed funds futures market this morning is pricing in modest odds that the first rate cut will now arrive at ...
2024-06-10 10:00:00 ET Summary The employment report released last Friday offered contradictory views of the state of the economy. If we look at some of the other labor data available to us, like the JOLTS survey that was also released last week, a picture of a softening labor mar...
2024-06-10 09:16:18 ET U.S. Treasury yields treaded water early Monday after rocketing higher on Friday following the government's latest employment report, which showed stronger-than-expected job growth in May. In the wake of the recent moves in the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield ( US2Y ) ...
2024-06-08 08:30:00 ET Summary If there are no cuts in 2024 (not our view), there is also little prospect for the 10yr yield to fall in a material manner. With real yields so low, inflation easing lower is not enough to justify lower yields. A key difference between the eurozo...
2024-06-08 01:35:00 ET Summary This week, the European Central Bank made the first decisive move in the transition away from monetary tightening. Recent strength in the Eurozone economy, including a higher-than-expected growth rate in hourly wages published today, suggests the lac...
2024-06-08 00:01:00 ET Summary Coming into 2024, many income investors expected falling inflation, slowing economic growth and rate cuts that would boost bond returns- a view that spurred record flows into investment-grade bonds. Despite a slow start to the year for bonds, fixed i...
2024-06-07 23:40:00 ET Summary On Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) delivered a 25 basis point policy rate cut. By contrast, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is set to keep rates on hold at its meeting this month. Typically, central banks wait for the Fed to reduce rates befo...
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2024-07-04 13:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-14 15:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-04 18:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...