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2023-04-02 04:50:00 ET Summary We’ve talked a lot over the years about the shape of the yield curve, how that is a market signal, how that is telling us something about the future, about potential asset market returns. What’s our thoughts? US debt is considered the r...
2023-03-31 03:30:00 ET Summary Pricing the damage: Financial cracks and economic damage are emerging from the fastest rate hiking cycle since the 1980s. What matters: how much damage is in the price and our assessment of market risk sentiment. Rethinking bonds: We see higher yield...
2023-03-29 01:35:00 ET Summary Investors are asking if the tide is still going out, whether credit seizures in the economy and markets are getting worse, or if the situation is improving. A comparison of the pace of investment grade debt issuance in 2022 and 2023 reveals a flatlin...
2023-03-28 21:52:00 ET Summary If the recent crisis of confidence was created by bigger concerns about inflation and sharp moves in rates, the focus now is more on Alpha, the issuers in credit markets. Another drag on bank risk comes from the US regional banks. Significant vol...
2023-03-28 11:41:00 ET Summary Historically, higher-rated short-duration high-yield bonds have provided strong returns with defensive characteristics. Over the 20 years ending September 30, 2022, BB- and B-rated high-yield bonds between one and five years to maturity captured more...
2023-03-27 11:25:00 ET Summary It makes sense to prepare for the turning point in this cycle - but not by returning to the winners from the last cycle. Growth would slow and unemployment would rise, and while credit defaults would remain low for the time being, a decline in corpor...
2023-03-22 06:28:00 ET Summary Recent uncertainty, instigated by the issues seen across the financial sector, has led to a change in investment flows seen across exchange traded funds. A change in investment flows can be seen over the month of March as equity market volatility has...
2023-03-22 03:20:00 ET Summary An active Fed means that investors may finally get some yield out of front-end fixed income. Inverted curves also mean attractive income with limited duration risk, in our view. We think that elevated inflation will likely keep the Fed hiking rates. ...
2023-03-22 02:50:00 ET Summary Both the leading indicators of growth and liquidity continue to suggest growth will slow as 2023 progresses. The housing market and the inventory cycle in particular are still material headwinds to growth, while we are still unlikely to have fully fe...
2023-03-21 14:05:00 ET Summary Increased uncertainty in the global banking system and violent swings in rates markets have led to weakness in credit. Statistically, spreads are looking cheap, but we argue that risks remain high and market direction is still uncertain. While th...
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2024-07-04 13:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-14 15:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-05 02:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...