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Upstart, Teladoc, Amazon, Netflix and Etsy are a few of the names that are getting crushed this earnings season. I discuss what's happening in the market. Why you should welcome this gambling parlor, where market participants are ''playing'' with options and margin. Buffett is onc...
The Fed takes a potentially aggressive path in an effort to tame inflation. Investors fear a recession may be on the horizon. We’ve looked at how stocks tend to perform in the period between yield curve inversions and the start of a recession (when it has occurred). Given t...
The pure pandemic beneficiary names – companies like Zoom, Peloton, and the ARK funds – have given back all of their pandemic stock market gains and then some. If we do have a recession sometime in the next twelve months, it doesn’t appear as though an unknown ass...
The S&P 500 is quickly approaching bear market territory - down 20% from the early January high. A broader topping process took place throughout 2021. Tech stocks and small-caps have endured steeper drawdowns. For further details see: Are Stocks Nearing A Bottom?
There’s a lot of conspiracy mongering with regards to the housing component of the CPI which muddies popular discussion of the topic. The short version of the story is that it is largely based on rent measurement, and not house prices. Although there has been some softening in ...
CPI rates showed no relief in April. With inflation running at over 8%, there is a good chance real GDP in the second quarter will be down. The bigger problem is if the actual pace of inflation has permanently changed. For further details see: The U.S. Economy May Be Hea...
AIER’s Everyday Price rose 0.5% in April after surging 3.0% in March, 1.3% in February, and 1.0% in January. Price increases continue to be generally broad-based with 20 components showing gains versus three showing declines, and one unchanged in April. Price pressures for ...
Currently, everybody is bearish. Not just in terms of investor sentiment but also in positioning. When levels of negativity have reached or exceeded current levels, such has historically been associated with short- to intermediate-term market bottoms. The market remains exceptiona...
The US government alone spent a record 43.2% of GDP on stimulus efforts in 2020 and 2021. On Monday, the S&P 500 broke below 4000 on the daily close. So far, the largest market cap weight and most widely held stock, Apple, is off just 17% from its $185 top on January 3, 2022. ...
Just when we thought the world economy was regaining its footing, a military conflict in Europe has led us to reconsider our outlook for growth and inflation. In light of Russia’s invasion, we developed a framework for thinking about the economic impact of the conflict on the e...
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2024-01-03 11:45:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...