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Consumer spending rose by 2.7% in Q1, annual rate, adjusted for raging inflation. Gross private domestic investment rose by 2.3% annualized, following the spectacular spike in Q4. Less-catastrophic imports, thereby a less-catastrophic trade deficit, will reduce the drag on GDP. ...
Over the past week, various U.S. Federal Reserve officials have suggested that their first 50-basis point rate hike in 20 years is likely to be followed by more, but that a 75-basis point hike isn’t currently on the table. The U.S. economy grew by 5.7% in 2021. The Fed’s...
We recently cut risk, but stick with stocks over bonds for now. Equity prices now reflect much of the worsening macro outlook and hawkish Fed, in our view. Markets came to grips last week with the trade-off central banks face: choke off growth or live with inflation. Yields fell and s...
The VIX index has been stuck in a range since the end of April. Options betting suggests the VIX spikes above 40 between now and June 15. A VIX spike is one of the piece missing from a short-term bottom in stocks. For further details see: The VIX May Soon Spike Providing...
Investing is really tough. But there's a way to make this slightly more profitable. It won't be easier, but it will be more profitable. Takeaway from the Berkshire Hathaway meeting, and Warren Buffett's stock market timing. Using Buffett's Occidental Petroleum as a case study. ...
Value continues to trounce growth stocks within the style asset class across all market caps, and the longer-term returns tell us that growth might continue to lag for some time. It’s impossible to say how long the style “alpha” will be sustained. Growth stocks ha...
In terms of the US stock market, we are searching for a sign or a group of signs giving us the courage to act, hopefully before others. We have been conditioned to anticipate the end of a directional move before a major reversal to a new one. This makes sense, as turning points occur ...
If you are struggling, we would caution you about watching the news - particularly the political drivel. Do not let the news get to you. Filter the information. The important thing to do is analyze who we think the winners will be in this environment of inflation, higher food and oil ...
Stocks are on track to register their sixth straight week of declines for the first time since the confluence of the eurozone financial crisis, credit rating downgrade of US Treasuries and a debt crisis debacle in Congress sent equities reeling in the late summer of 2011. When the S&a...
The biggest crash in world history is coming, and it will be due to the most powerful financial force in the financial markets – mean reversions. Every transaction in the market requires both a buyer and a seller, with the only differentiating factor being at what price the tra...
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2024-01-03 11:45:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...