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It feels like a summer rally is underway after the Fed minutes calmed investor concern about tighter monetary policy. Inflation expectations are coming down along with long-term interest rates and the rate of economic growth. A soft landing looks to be on track. Yet sentiment ...
On the surface, the correction has only started getting to the broad indices. Under the hood, the damage is deeper: 70% of S&P 500 stocks and 85% of NASDAQ stocks are below their 200-day moving averages. The Fed is raising rates and reducing liquidity by allowing assets on its bal...
I invest in real estate and think it’s one of the best long-term investments, beating out the stock market if you were to factor in risk/volatility. In one month, real estate fell 14.7% in parts of Canada and the USA. In fact, the IYR real estate ETF fell 15% as well which help...
I've been covering the explosive growth of M2 for almost two years now, and I'm very happy to report that M2 is no longer exploding. In fact, its annualized growth rate over the past 3 months has fallen to a mere 1.3%, down from its all-time, year-over-year high of 26.9% in February o...
Despite these turbulent global markets, we can identify several clear positives across the thematic space. As a result, we believe that it may be a good time for investors to seek exposure to these themes at the dip while keeping their focus on the long-term drivers. As this econo...
Central banks are facing a growth-inflation trade-off. Hiking interest rates too much risks triggering a recession, while not tightening enough risks causing runaway inflation. The Fed has made it clear it is ready to dampen growth. Implication: We are neutral developed market (DM) equiti...
Global consumer price inflation picked up from 5.3% y/y in December 2021 to an estimated 7.0% this May, a pace that will likely be maintained through September. Our May forecast already incorporates a mild quarter-on-quarter contraction in eurozone real GDP in the second quarter and d...
New orders for nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft, or core capital goods, a proxy for business equipment investment, rose 0.3 percent in April after jumping 1.1 percent in March. Nearly every category in the durable-goods report showed a gain in April, though the increases we...
Price pressures intensified on average, thanks in part to higher energy prices. While the China impact was most commonly reported in Japan, the Ukraine war impact was most heavily felt in the eurozone. For all economies, the path of inflation and the cost-of-living crisis remains ...
After months of higher Treasury yields, the possibility that rates have peaked is a topical discussion, fueled by easing rates in recent days. Fed funds futures are still estimating a high probability that the central bank will lift rates again at the June 15 FOMC meeting. Key upd...
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2024-01-03 11:45:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...