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High-yield credit spreads have spiked higher by 112 basis points since the start of the year. Going down the size spectrum in U.S. equities, valuations are signaling a far more dire outlook. Despite superior earnings growth, the S&P 600 return of 21% has lagged the 28% return ...
A weakening labor market would normally get the Fed to turn dovish. However, Mr. Powell and the Fed cannot turn dovish imminently. Nevertheless, Wall Street is still hoping that the Fed put is nigh. But record-high inflation is the primary problem facing consumers and corporations. Ch...
Despite their general discontent, most people don’t seem to think a severe economic downturn is imminent - despite many warning signs. There are certainly many factors, but one likely reason people can’t see the train hurtling down the tracks is a psychological phenomeno...
While some doomsday-er economists are expecting a deeply destructive hurricane (deep recession), others are only seeing a mild drizzle (soft landing) developing. Stock market veterans understand that stock prices can go down when current economic news is sunny but future expectations ...
Yesterday's month-end close for the NASDAQ Composite Index of 12,081 officially breached its 26-month moving average by more than 1%. Over the last six months, the NASDAQ is -25%, the S&P 500 -14%, and Canada's TSX just -5.8%. As in 2000 and 2007, extreme leverage and speculat...
Quite frankly, new business creation is occurring in many parts of the world. We have observed new businesses being created at an annual growth rate greater than 15% since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in Canada, France, Japan and the United States. The Economist estimates th...
Today’s Job Openings and Labor Turnover (JOLTS) for April is beginning to shed the first glimmers of light on these shifting hiring priorities, in a labor market that remains overall super-heated. Professional and business services job openings fell by 149,000 seasonally adjust...
Between the 2009 lows and last year’s top, the S&P and the Russell rose by 500% while the NASDAQ rose three times as much, climbing 1500%. So far this year, dividends continue to boom, rising 20% for the Russell and the NASDAQ and about 10% for the S&P. Russell 2000...
Monetary-inflation-always economists start with good definitions. They distinguish inflation from relative price changes. Nobody denies that supply shocks can affect relative prices. The purpose of economic theory is to do economic history. For further details see: Yes, ...
According to the leading indicators of economic growth, the business cycle looks set to enter a period of material deceleration in the months ahead. This growth downturn is a continuation of the slowdown that began in the latter half of 2021. Combined with this downturn in growth, the...
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2024-01-03 11:45:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...