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June had seen global employment growth generally holding up well, with many firms continuing to rebuild workforces that had been affected by the pandemic. Key to the price outlook will be the supply situation. Like the US and eurozone, the UK is seeing a natural moderation of grow...
Fintech firms are now experiencing the collapse of their capital value as the market adjusts to tightening Federal Reserve monetary policy. Investors are "fleeing" the debt of emerging market nations as the Federal Reserve and other central bankers move to tighten up. Worldwide, t...
Our analysis suggests slowing durable goods spending by affluent Americans, implying that corporate earnings guidance may be vulnerable. Recently, the data has suggested important changes to spending patterns of many high-income consumers, a key driver for the economy. Within our ...
Two opposing forces appear to be dominating the market currently, with investors polarized between recession fears and bargain hunting following this year’s large equity selloff. Investors priced in most central bank tightening and seem more confident with the inflation outlook...
Automakers and related industries led the charge today, while utilities and staples became a source of funds. Small and mid-cap growth names did well, as did the top 7 stocks by market cap. It's too soon to call the bottom for this market cycle, but we've had two very strong up da...
There has been a dramatic fall in Treasury yields in the past month and an equally dramatic fall in energy, metals, and agricultural commodities. The Ukraine situation holds many unknowns, as it is a major driver of financial markets and there is no end in sight as to when the fightin...
The global economy and financial markets have suffered a dreadful H1 2022, ravaged by a severe commodity shock, strict COVID-19 lockdowns in the world’s second-largest economy, and one of the most aggressive Fed tightening cycles in recent history. H2 looks equally tough. In it...
With prices rising 9.1% year-over-year and outpacing growth in wages, it may be like a recession for those who feel their purchasing power eroding. Thus far in 2022, employment growth has remained robust. With high inflation, it’s clear that consumers in the U.S. and many o...
The Fed will be raising interest rates again soon, and of course, the question is whether the central bank will raise the Fed Funds rate by 0.75 or 1.00 percent. As if the issues in China weren’t enough, the festering Ukraine war-related energy-related issues in Europe could be...
Last week, the Labor Department announced that its CPI rose 1.3% in June, higher than the economists’ consensus estimate of 1.1%. But core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose only 0.7% in June and just 5.9% in the past 12 months. The main reason for a higher CPI number is that...
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2024-01-03 11:45:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...