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Here are some things I think I am thinking about: 1) Holy lumber, batman! Have you checked out lumber prices lately? Prices have TRIPLED since the March bottom. It's one of the most interesting economic developments since the pandemic started. Basically, people started staying home and rea...
By Jeff Weniger, CFA "Don't fight the Fed" is a mantra that seems truer with each passing year. Every strategist worth their salt has a chart that looks something like figure 1. To show the direction the S&P 500 Index could take in the next few months, I added to the Federal Reserv...
We’ve had one trade on with this market: long stocks, long bonds, long gold, long silver, long metals, and short the U.S. dollar, Tommy Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, told Real Vision during today’s Daily Briefing. Thornton predicted that we will soon start s...
Today’s DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims report shows continued but slow improvement in the employment situation. The non-seasonal adjusted initial claims at 821,591 are down by 67,958 when compared to previous week. Also, the non-seasonal adjusted continuous insured unemploye...
What can September deliver for an encore after August's fireworks included new all-time highs, a blistering Tech rally, and a surprising return of stock splits? Well, for one thing, how about a little volatility? That isn't just idle speculation. Not to rain on anyone's parade, but Cboe vo...
Just to be clear here I am not about to insist that there's some massive wave of inflation about to hit Tuesday next because we abandoned the gold standard or something. I'm not even going to try and insist that there's inflation which will definitely happen. I am though going to point out t...
Originally posted on August 20, 2020 By Philip Lawlor, head of Global Investment Research Forward PE multiples hit new decade highs in August amid buoyant risk appetite and recovery hopes for both economies and corporate earnings. History offers some perspective on how best to interpre...
The most popular stock index in the world hit an all-time high last Tuesday, but very few stocks are above their intermediate-term trends, let alone their long-term trends. When you dive deeper, even fewer sectors, industry groups, and individual stocks are in uptrends, and the smaller you go ...
Executive Summary: In looking at the potential for a countertrend move to develop, the best way to summarize the situation might be to say, see last week's report entitled, "The Song Remains The Same." The bottom line is stocks remain overbought, sentiment has reached extremely positive ...
Theories can be proven true or false. Identities must always hold true. The national savings and investment identity provides a critical framework to understand the flow of financial capital and determine the possible implications of increasing budget deficits. Currently, many market par...