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Special Video Much of today's commentary is also in the interview I did on Thursday with our friends over at Peak Prosperity. We discuss the market, portfolio management, risk controls, and why there is potentially still more downside risk to stocks in both the short and intermediate term....
During extended bull markets, rationalization becomes commonplace to justify overpaying for value. One such rationalization is the permanent shift in valuations higher due to changes in accounting rules, share buybacks, and greater adoption by the public of investing (aka ETFs). The chart ...
On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Director and Senior Investment Strategist Paul Eitelman and Senior Client Investment Analyst Chris Kyle discussed the ongoing volatility in equity markets, recent U.S. inflation data and the latest on a potential vaccine for COVID-19. Nas...
The Congressional Budget Office ((CBO)) released its revised 10-year federal budget outlook on September 2, 2020. It only considers the spending and tax legislation that is currently authorized. It specifically takes a crack at estimating the impact and consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic: t...
Market corrections force us to test our core beliefs. We still see an overly accommodative Fed providing excess liquidity; a government providing added stimulus eventually; vaccines, better therapeutics, and rapid response tests on the horizon; and improving growth overseas led by China. While...
Purpose I look at the high frequency weekly indicators because while they can be very noisy, they provide a good nowcast of the economy and will telegraph the maintenance or change in the economy well before monthly or quarterly data is available. They are also an excellent way to "mark yo...
By Steven Raineri, Vice President, Research Analyst, Portfolio Manager, Franklin Small Cap Value Fund Franklin Small Cap Value Fund Portfolio Manager Steve Raineri gives five reasons why he thinks small-capitalization (small-cap) value stocks could perform well as the US economy continues...
Summer's gone. The difference between large-cap growth and value asset classes in terms of valuation and performance has rarely been larger than conditions today. The "Great" Corona virus tech rally looks to have hit the glass ceiling finally. As days shorten, the temperature wanes and...
By Jill Mislinski Thursday's release of the August Producer Price Index ((PPI)) for Final Demand was at 0.3% month over month seasonally adjusted, down from a 0.6% increase last month. It is at -0.2% year over year, up from -0.4% last month, on a non-seasonally adjusted basis. Core Final D...
The record decline in US output in the second quarter is expected to post a strong but partial recovery in the upcoming Q3 GDP report, according to several recent nowcasts compiled by CapitalSpectator.com. Economic activity is projected to rise nearly 21% in real terms on an annualized basis...