Previous 10 | Next 10 |
After the end of 2019, the U.S. economy went straight into negative territory, as the pandemic-related shutdowns produced unprecedented contractions in activity. If the Atlanta Fed is correct, the U.S. economy has made progress beyond anyone's imagination just a few short months ago. ...
A truer picture of the employment situation is extracted from the Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims (UIWC) report. Persons receiving some form of unemployment benefits account for 16.2%. Monitoring of the weekly insured unemployed can provide early indication of recovery from t...
Transportation equipment and sales of motor vehicles & parts were instrumental in driving through a strong durable goods number for July. Without any likely stimulus until elections, Americans will be required to dip into their elevated savings and net-worth. Investors may con...
The bulls produced a "good overbought" condition that lasted 2 months. Now the bears have produced an oversold condition. The question is which team will win the current battle. This morning we go looking for clues. For further details see: Looking For Clues To Next ...
The major central banks of the world have increased their assets by 46.7% since the beginning of the year. If you don't think this affects the equity markets, I beg to differ. It is not just the vertical shift, the amount of assets they currently have, but the horizontal expansion...
Simply stated, companies require economic growth to prosper, and gains in productivity and the working-age population are what drives that growth. If population growth contributes to economic prosperity and stock valuations, United Nations (UN) population forecasts offer a glimpse of ...
The return of volatility means lots of great trading opportunities in the days to come. The euro could be putting in a top but dollar/yen seems like a better bet from a timing perspective. Floyd is bullish on silver and thinks it will be a better performer than gold. For fur...
The most overpriced segment of the market now is the large cap growth FANGMAN stocks, which accounts for around 25% of the S&P 500. I don't think it is proper for the Fed to target the stock market. But that is what they are doing through QE. This is a time to lighten risk pos...
On the surface, it would seem there are few similarities between today and the late 1990s. Digging deeper, we find more similarities than dissimilarities. It should serve a warning sign. For further details see: Today's Stock Market Is A Mirror Image Of 1999
Several GDP nowcasts for the upcoming Q3 report (due on Oct. 29 from the Bureau of Economic Analysis) are pointing to a strong rise. After plunging in March and April, the US MEI rebounded sharply but has been treading water in recent weeks. The standard numbers still leave plenty...