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Summary One of the phrases making the rounds among the financial media chatterboxes this week has been “no landing”. The macro news has indeed given some cause for cheer relative to some of the more dour scenarios we’ve been looking at in the past few months. Wh...
Summary It’s clear that there is little reason for sell-side analysts to stick their neck and raise estimates, in this environment. The S&P 500’s YTD return as of Thursday night’s, February 16, 2023, close was +6.76%. It looks like 2023 could see flat revenu...
Summary The forward 12-month EPS is a time-weighted average between FY1 (2023) and FY2 (2024). During the height of the pandemic, we saw aggressive downgrades in EPS estimates during March-June 2020 as shown in the 2020, 2021 , and 2022 worm. Both the Russell 1000 and Russell 1000 G...
Summary In 2020, the European Commission introduced the principle into the sustainable finance regulatory framework including for climate indexes, as labelled ‘Paris-aligned’ or ‘climate transition’ benchmarks (PABs and CTBs). A prominent approach suggested i...
Summary One hypothesis we're currently evaluating behind the scenes is that the multiplier may have shifted to zero at the beginning of the year. Unlike changes in dividend expectations that are easy to identify, the factors that cause the dividend futures-based model's basic multiplier...
Summary Economic news has caused market participants to be looking the wrong way over these last 5 months. While news reports can act as a catalyst for market moves, the substance of the news is often unimportant in determining a directional bias. As long as highlighted support hold...
Summary The 5-year Treasury yield jumped 27 bps last week, from 3.66% the prior week to close, to 3.93% at this Friday’s close. This is after falling 30 bps in the first week of January ’23. The “estimated” S&P 500 earnings growth for 2023 (as a whole) ha...
Summary Instead of bullish investors sticking with their mantra of 'Don’t Fight The Fed,' it is now a standoff between bullish investors and the Fed. While bullish investors cling to historical statistics about market returns, the problem is the Fed remains clear that it will not...
Summary From its all-time high of 4,973, the S&P 500 has now fallen 23% (as at January 1st), so the US large-cap index is still in a bear market. Over the last 100 years, the S&P 500’s CAPE has almost never gone outside the range of half to double its long-term average. ...
Summary The S&P 500 index is almost unarguably the #1 benchmark followed by long-term investors, fundamental analysts, and short-term traders alike. I felt the need to explain 16 details about the S&P 500, I believe well-informed investors should know about this index, however t...
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2024-05-14 04:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-24 16:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-05 04:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...