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2023-03-13 11:47:00 ET Summary Investors in the S&P 500 (SPX) couldn't catch a break during the trading week ending on 10 March 2023. At this time, it's premature to tell if the dividend futures-based model's multiplier has shifted again. The biggest question investor...
2023-03-10 02:52:00 ET Summary Inflation is not moving down as much as people are anticipating. Labor is showing signs of resilience and strength. The leading indicators are telling us that although things are looking good now, that may not hold up as we get to the back half o...
2023-03-09 03:17:00 ET Summary Put in a logical sequence, dividends should be the last step in the business sequence, since they represent residual cash flows. The most intuitive way to think about potential dividends is to think of it as the cash flow left over after every concei...
2023-03-08 22:05:00 ET Summary Over the past couple of sessions as the market has awaited Fed Chair Powell’s testimony, the S&P 500 has not seen particularly large gaps at the open. The moves in the past couple of sessions have essentially been the opposite of what is h...
2023-03-07 22:53:00 ET Summary Fed Chair Powell’s testimony on Capitol Hill over the next couple of days will be the main focus of the market. Hawkish commentary generally tends to be received poorly by the market with the S&P falling an average of 7.5 bps on those days...
2023-03-07 03:47:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 recovered a large portion of the ground in lost in the trading week ending on 3 March 2023. The CME Group's FedWatch Tool continued to project three consecutive quarter-point rate hikes at the Fed's upcoming 22 March, 3 May and 14 Jun...
2023-03-06 04:15:00 ET Summary The Q4 2023 S&P 500 EPS growth is still reflecting 10% y.y, and it has not been revised down even though Q1 and Q2 ’23 EPS estimates continue to be revised lower. The Friday, March 10th, 2023 nonfarm payroll report is expecting +210,000 ...
Summary Stronger economic indicators released over the past month suggest that the economy started the year off solidly with no recession in the near term. After a couple of weak months, consumer spending jumped for January. Continued modestly above-trend economic growth is occurrin...
Summary The beginning of the year always offers a chance to catch up with a broad range of clients who are in the mode of thinking about the big picture outlook: pension funds, insurers, consultants and sovereign wealth funds across Australia, Asia, Europe and North America. This note r...
Summary Fourth-quarter results showed consumers balked at higher prices. Together, Google, Amazon, and Microsoft command roughly three-quarters of the cloud market and we find the soft results for all three to be a potential canary in the coal mine for the economy. We expect the foc...
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2024-06-24 18:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-03 03:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-14 05:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...