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After months of battering, global equity markets enjoyed a reprieve in July, lifted by hopes that worsening economic signals and falling commodity prices might give central banks, led by the Fed, some leeway to dial back their tightening campaigns. Despite their recent outperformance,...
Global economic growth slowed to a crawl in July, according to the latest PMI survey data, led by the developed world falling into contraction for the first time in two years. Emerging market growth as a whole consequently remained broadly resilient at one of the fastest rates seen ov...
Global equity markets went into a protective crouch last quarter, and factor performance followed suit. The collapse in Consumer Discretionary and/or Technology stocks was a dominant driver of global factor performance in Q2. The Quality premium versus Value has returned to its lo...
Output fell in the United States, Eurozone, UK and Japan, while mainland China saw a reduced rate of expansion and the rest of Asia as a whole likewise mustered only modest growth. The global manufacturing PMI survey's Output Index signaled stalled production in July. The worsenin...
Central banks in major economies expected as recently as a few months ago that they could tighten monetary policy very gradually. Central bank actions and communications about the likely path of policy have led to a significant rise in real (inflation-adjusted) interest rates on gover...
Many of the downside risks flagged in our April World Economic Outlook have begun to materialize. Despite slowing activity, global inflation has been revised up, in part due to rising food and energy prices. As advanced economies raise interest rates to fight inflation, financial ...
The peak rates chatter refuses to go away – and there are good reasons for that. Emerging markets' central banks frontloaded a lot of rate hikes, and real policy rates adjusted by expected inflation are now very positive (maybe even contractionary) in quite a few EMs. The l...
Stocks in emerging markets have behaved surprisingly well this year. Even though they declined along with global equities, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index outperformed the MSCI World Index of developed-market stocks in the first half of 2022. Uncertainty and volatility aren’t g...
As inflation raged, central banks accelerated the pace of monetary policy tightening, aiming to slow the growth of aggregate demand and calm price pressures. In response to persistently high inflation and an upward drift in long-run inflation expectations, central banks are accelerati...
Most major economies are dealing with inflation highs not seen in decades. Market expectations of peak policy rates have declined since June, likely reflecting the significant slowdown in activity as well as recent commodity price declines. Tightening financial conditions as well ...
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2024-06-03 03:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-14 05:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-01-11 15:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...