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2024-04-19 12:31:19 ET Summary The Fed has implemented backdoor quantitative easing through bank bailouts and subsidies in the overnight repo market, distorting the stock market. Promised rate cuts by the Fed may not materialize due to the record amount of Treasuries being sold an...
2024-04-19 03:05:00 ET Summary The only aspect of consistency in the market’s outlook for rate cuts lately has been pushing the expected date forward. Recent history falls in line with this trend and September is now seen as the earliest date for policy easing. Fed fund...
2024-04-19 02:15:00 ET Summary The March CPI release was, in retrospect, the one that apparently convinced the Fed and the market that "disinflation has stalled." "Higher for longer" is now the interest rate mantra that is driving the market; it's made people nervous, so an equity...
2024-04-18 13:00:00 ET Summary While the US national debt exceeds $34 trillion, it isn't necessarily a problem for investors. The US has more assets than liabilities, and much of its debt is domestically owned. US Treasuries are among the safest, most liquid assets in the worl...
2024-04-18 07:45:00 ET Summary Amid all-time highs for gold and sticky inflation, we turn our eye to the concerning fiscal outlook for 2025. At the end of 2023, we suggested that the three major macro factors - monetary policy, government spending and global economic growth - woul...
2024-04-18 06:00:00 ET Summary Bowing to recent data, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday conceded that inflation progress has stalled and the case for rate cuts has weakened. The Treasury market has been effectively making the same case for weeks, but when the top c...
2024-04-18 02:50:00 ET Summary The number of teens Age 16 to 19 counted as employed jumped by 224,000 to reach 5,832,000 from February to March 2024. The number of Americans Age 18 and 19 with jobs rose 161,000 from the previous month's seasonally-adjusted total to 3,756,000. ...
2024-04-17 14:10:46 ET Summary The S&P 500 has pulled back 4% from recent highs, but it's not due to geopolitical tension. Rates, the dollar, yen, and oil are not reflecting typical flight to safety characteristics. Markets are correcting for their massive blunder. T...
2024-04-17 08:45:00 ET Summary Economic reflation is becoming the next bullish narrative as equity valuation increases continue to outpace earnings gains, at least according to Goldman Sachs and Tony Pasquariello. Interest rates, gold, and commodity prices have increased in the pa...
2024-04-17 07:25:00 ET Summary On Apr. 15, the market closed 3.7% below its previous peak - a drawdown that’s irrelevant in the grand scheme of market history for peak-to-trough declines. Every bear market starts with a relatively soft, innocuous slide, however, so there...
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2024-04-04 22:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-25 21:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-15 19:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...