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2024-05-23 11:19:00 ET Summary In March 2023, the AIER Business Conditions Monthly Leading Indicator fell to its lowest level in five months. The Roughly Coincident Indicator, meanwhile, rose to its highest reading since September 2023. The index levels for March were 58 for t...
2024-05-23 10:16:00 ET Summary The employment situation for U.S. teenagers dipped slightly in April 2024. The seasonally adjusted number of 16-19 year olds counted as having jobs decreased from the previous month's total by 23,000 to 5,839,000. Although it dipped, the jobs tre...
2024-05-23 00:20:00 ET Summary Two driving forces are now simultaneously pushing in the direction of higher long-term real interest rates. While investors and commentators often tend to conflate the two, I think it is useful instead to distinguish them clearly. They are rising inv...
2024-05-22 17:59:47 ET Summary SPLV is one of the most established U.S. large-cap low-volatility ETFs on the market. It has a moderate 0.25% expense and $7.10 billion in assets under management. The ETF appeals to risk-averse investors by selecting the 100 least-volatile S&P 5...
2024-05-22 12:30:00 ET Summary Recent data indicates the US economy has been cooling modestly and disinflationary progress has resumed, which should help hasten the start of rate cuts. There is a significant amount of cash that is likely to start moving to stock and bonds once the...
2024-05-22 11:45:00 ET Summary US economic activity is expected to post a modestly firmer increase in the second quarter. Output for the April-through-June period is projected to rise 1.9%. A possible early sign of trouble for later this year is the ongoing slowdown in labor m...
2024-05-22 07:15:00 ET Summary A hawkish hold by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and a firmer-than-expected UK CPI reading have allowed the New Zealand dollar and sterling to show resilience in the face of the US dollar's broadly firmer tone. US index futures are trading with a so...
2024-05-21 13:04:00 ET Summary During ripping bull markets, investors often start benchmarking. The rise in indexing has resulted in a concentration of dollars into a decreasing number of assets. While an active manager focusing on “risk” may underperform during ...
2024-05-21 11:30:00 ET Summary When the US Treasury yield curve inverts (short rates rise above long rates) the shift is widely viewed as a reliable forecast that a recession is near. The curve has been inverted since July 2022, the longest inversion on record, but a recession has...
2024-05-21 08:35:00 ET Summary In April, 5.23% of subprime auto loans were 60 days or more delinquent, the worst April on record, and a hair above the prior record of April 2020. Subprime delinquencies were already rising from 2015 through 2019, as subprime lending was getting ver...
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2024-07-14 15:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 05:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-04 22:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...