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2024-04-21 06:15:00 ET Summary First quarter GDP and March PCE reports could lead to higher rates, a stronger dollar, and a decline in the stock market. Anecdotal evidence suggests that the estimates for GDP and PCE may be too low, indicating potential upside surprises. Strong...
2024-04-20 05:50:00 ET Summary Despite extraordinary monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve, inflation remains elevated above its 2% target. The Consumer Price Index rose at an annualized rate of 4.5% over the last three months. Interest rates suggest money is tight. The m...
2024-04-20 05:30:00 ET Summary For investors whose portfolios are calculated in US dollars, the Japanese yen is down around 10% versus the greenback. The strong dollar is a direct outcome of the market’s long-overdue realization that US interest rates are likely to stay hig...
2024-04-20 05:05:59 ET Summary We can assume that global carry trades have mushroomed over recent years to the Trillions, with speculative leverage seductively bolstering liquidity and asset prices virtually everywhere. Losses are mounting throughout Asian currency markets. Ch...
2024-04-20 03:00:00 ET Summary The Leading Indicator, at 75, suggests a sustained level of moderate growth, maintaining a consistent trend within the range of above-neutral performance observed over the past year. The Lagging Indicator suggests moderate contraction, continuing a p...
2024-04-20 02:40:00 ET Summary The latest National Federation of Independent Business survey was an economic warning that departed widely from more robust governmental reports. While recent government data on economic growth and employment remain robust, the NFIB small business co...
2024-04-19 16:00:00 ET Summary Possible market scenarios as Mideast tensions rise. As Israel-Iran tensions increase, the implications for bonds, stocks, commodities. Can Middle East tensions impact inflation? ... Read the full article on Seeking Alpha ...
2024-04-19 12:31:19 ET Summary The Fed has implemented backdoor quantitative easing through bank bailouts and subsidies in the overnight repo market, distorting the stock market. Promised rate cuts by the Fed may not materialize due to the record amount of Treasuries being sold an...
2024-04-19 03:05:00 ET Summary The only aspect of consistency in the market’s outlook for rate cuts lately has been pushing the expected date forward. Recent history falls in line with this trend and September is now seen as the earliest date for policy easing. Fed fund...
2024-04-19 02:30:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 has dropped nearly four percent from the record high level it reached at the end of March 2024. The amount of dividends expected to be paid out by S&P 500 firms during 2024-Q3 has decreased, falling from $17.82 to $17.72 during th...
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2024-07-03 08:30:00 ET If you've been a student of the market for any meaningful length of time, you've likely stumbled across advice to just buy and hold an S&P 500 index fund like the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEMKT: SPY) . And it's a good tip. Not only is such a plan ...
2024-03-05 06:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-12 21:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...