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2024-02-03 05:12:22 ET Summary The US financial system has sufficient funds to sustain itself. The M2 money stock has decreased slightly since early 2022 but remains significantly higher than in 2020. The Federal Reserve continues to gradually reduce its securities' portfolio....
2024-02-03 01:23:01 ET Summary Whether it be a bull or a bear, staying with a trend increases the odds of success. No surprise, the Fed left rates unchanged and is effectively in "neutral". The Fed futures market has been wrong on Fed policy for two years. My stance hasn't cha...
2024-02-02 20:34:17 ET Summary Stocks initially dropped after strong job growth in January, but it wasn't as strong as believed. The increase in jobs and wages can lead to inflation. However, the decrease in average work hours counters the income created by new jobs and higher...
2024-02-02 14:17:59 ET Summary January job creation exceeded expectations with 353,000 jobs added. The labor shortage is growing as the number of job openings outpaces the number of unemployed. Average hourly earnings and average hours worked are heading in two opposite direct...
2024-02-02 10:42:00 ET Summary January payrolls surged 353k versus 185k consensus. The blowout jobs report - payrolls surging, wages jumping, unemployment falling - means the Fed will be in no hurry to cut interest rates. Nevertheless, the report contradicts lots of evidence e...
2024-02-02 07:27:00 ET Summary The US data continues to refuse to convincingly break one way or another. This will leave members of the Federal Reserve unconvinced there is enough evidence to justify cutting interest rates as soon as March. The US manufacturing ISM index was stron...
2024-02-01 22:50:00 ET Summary The race into 2024 has begun, and the U.S. market is off to a quick start. The S&P 500 jumped out of the gates by +1.6%. The bull market rally broadened out at the end of 2023, but 2024 returned to the leaders of last year’s pack. Out ...
2024-02-01 14:52:00 ET Summary How does the outperforming US economy play into the Fed's strategy? What is the bond market telling us about when rate cuts may start? How many rate cuts do you see in 2024? The Federal Reserve held its key interest rate steady for a fo...
2024-02-01 10:30:00 ET Summary The Fed has kept rates steady for its past three meetings, and Wednesday followed that trend. In my view, the Fed announcement is attempting to keep a lid on easing financial conditions while admitting that progress has been made on disinflation. ...
2024-02-01 08:27:00 ET Summary Motio Research's estimate of median household income in December 2023 was $77,051. The estimated income earned by a household at the exact middle of the income distribution in the United States slipped by just $33 from the firm's initial estimate of ...
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2024-07-14 15:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-04 17:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 05:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...