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2024-02-06 00:20:00 ET Summary Bond yields didn't move all that much but what move there was, was down. People sold stocks and bought bonds because the odds of a rate cut in March fell during the press conference. The Fed doesn't know if inflation has peaked or whether this is...
2024-02-05 22:35:00 ET Summary It is normal to see huge swings in bonds and stocks on a day when the Fed Chairman releases his FOMC statement and holds a press conference. What is far from normal, however – although we have seen it occasionally – is to see a sharp se...
2024-02-05 12:55:00 ET Summary The ISM services index has bounced back nicely in January with the headline index at 53.4 versus 50.5 in December. The ISM employment index has now rebounded to 50.5, but this is only indicating very modest hiring and leaves the index in line with it...
2024-02-05 11:50:00 ET Summary We don’t see Q4 earnings challenging upbeat risk appetite even as we see 2024 earnings growth below the consensus. We're overweight U.S. stocks overall. U.S. stocks hit an all-time high last week as mostly solid tech earnings offset some disap...
2024-02-05 11:15:00 ET Summary Over the last 50 years, February has been the second-worst performing month of the year. If the market usually goes down in February and a banking crisis is on the horizon, why was the market up this week? The stock market is front-running the ba...
2024-02-05 11:00:00 ET Summary Many readers still take issue with being able to accept the market perspective I proffer. Even though many cannot accept it, it does not change the fact that sentiment is the most powerful force in market dynamics. I am looking for a pullback in ...
2024-02-05 07:30:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 Total Return Index has gone up in what feels like a straight-line +20% power rally. Underpinning the move is a growing consensus around a handful of high-conviction, high-market impact expectations of the future. However, insider sent...
2024-02-05 00:55:00 ET Summary While the BLS reported 353k jobs, the Household Survey actually reported a loss of -31k. December was an even bigger miss with 333k vs -683k. The BLS also publishes the data behind their Birth/Death assumptions. January is always a big drop, but this...
2024-02-04 16:00:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 surged to new all-time highs on Friday as buyers lapped up the strong Jobs Report and ignored the rally in yields. Sentiment is too bullish and I am looking for a reversal from just under 5000. Seasonality is weaker in February, w...
2024-02-04 08:20:00 ET Summary Fourth quarter was a good quarter for the fund and the asset class. Most major emerging markets are demonstrating decent fiscal and monetary discipline. China is still struggling with the dual issues of deflation and a huge property market draggi...
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2024-07-14 15:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-04 17:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 05:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...