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2024-03-08 04:50:00 ET Summary In the last four months, we’ve seen quite a bit of change to the ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard, with four indicators moving from recessionary red to yellow caution. We still think that the odds of a recession are 40% as the historical p...
2024-03-08 03:20:00 ET Summary The semiconductor sector, as represented by the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, posted a 10% gain in February. The EV sector has been under pressure in recent months despite rapid growth in 2023. Egypt is expected to agree to an extension and p...
2024-03-08 00:40:00 ET Summary The Fed published its estimates of the private sector's balance sheet and net worth, and it's nice to see that the numbers reflect very healthy conditions. As of year-end 2023, the net worth (total assets minus total liabilities) of the US private se...
2024-03-07 19:15:00 ET Summary Not only has the S&P 500 returned to new highs but sentiment is also making a push higher. At 51.7%, bullish sentiment is now slightly below the multi-year high from December 21st (52.9%). This week, bearish sentiment fell to 21.8% which was ...
2024-03-07 12:42:21 ET Summary Powell's testimony on the first day lacked new information despite risks of inflation reaccelerating and strong economic data. Market concern for inflation is growing, US GDP data is not slowing, and job creation and wage growth remain strong. Ea...
2024-03-06 20:20:00 ET Summary In 2024, like in recent years, the Federal Reserve policy rate trajectory remains top of mind for investors. While we have already seen a few emerging market central banks start to reduce interest rates, many of the developed markets have only just f...
2024-03-06 16:40:49 ET Summary Fed Chair Powell repeated the Fed's narrative, but did not update it with recent data on labor market and inflation. Since the December SEP assumptions, the labor market strengthened and inflation accelerated, thus the Fed will have to update SEP and...
2024-03-06 13:33:34 ET Summary Government statistics around jobs and inflation are becoming less insightful due to sampling errors and declining participation in surveys. Jobs reports in particular are subject to large revisions, and the more the economy is at a turning point, the...
2024-03-06 12:55:00 ET Summary Fed Chair Jay Powell's testimony to Congress suggests an inclination to cut interest rates to a more neutral level. But with inflation still above target and the activity data beating expectations, the central bank isn't in a position to do so. M...
2024-03-06 00:00:00 ET Summary The all-important M2 money supply continues to come back into line with long-term trends, key inflation measures are very close to the Fed's target, and money demand is returning to pre-Covid levels. The service sector (dominated by housing-related c...
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2024-07-14 15:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-04 17:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 05:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...