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2024-05-14 13:30:00 ET Summary While there is much debate over whether another bear market is imminent, weekly moving average crossovers suggest a different outcome for now. Understanding that the market tends to lead the economy by six months or more, we can use longer-term marke...
2024-05-14 10:10:00 ET Summary Demographic trends are elevating entitlement spending, and higher spending on infrastructure and other pandemic-era priorities has kept overall government outlays above pre-pandemic levels. Incremental deficit change is what influences growth rates, ...
2024-05-14 06:55:00 ET Summary The tone in the foreign exchange market today is mostly consolidative. The US is set to announce a new set of tariffs on a wide range of Chinese goods later today. The longest rally in Europe's Stoxx 600 since October-November 2021 is being chall...
2024-05-14 03:40:00 ET Summary Three sentiment indicators reflected additional pessimism from the week prior after the PMI came in at 49.1, a PMI recession signal below 50. Investors should use any short-term dips in sentiment as an opportunity to add capital to accounts. Over...
2024-05-14 00:55:00 ET Summary Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari issued an essay saying that the recent inflation data raise questions about whether their monetary policy is restrictive enough to fully return price growth to the central bank’s 2% target rate. Kashkari...
2024-05-14 00:15:00 ET Summary While oversimplifying any formula in the financial markets tends to backfire more often than not, good inflation numbers tend to deliver new highs for the S&P 500. My thesis is that we put in a bottom in April, which should, hold with a dovish Fe...
2024-05-13 12:45:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 rose a little over 1.8% largely as expectations the Federal Reserve will start a series of rate cuts in September 2023 firmed. Several see inflation running too high, prompting them to suggest they will continue to hold rates where th...
2024-05-13 09:15:00 ET Summary We believe high nominal growth, peak rates and broadening earnings performance continue to underpin equity market performance. While slower growth and higher inflation can be seen as having some stagflation characteristics, we remain convinced that i...
2024-05-13 08:10:00 ET Summary As of December 31st, 2023, the S&P 500 was forecasting a return of 1.34%/year over the next ten years, with no adjustment for inflation. Value stocks are cheap, and will be affected less by market events. This feels like June 2000, where ever...
2024-05-13 06:57:54 ET Summary Market direction in the coming week will hinge on CPI and PPI reports, with investors hoping to see progress on the inflation front, triggering a potential Fed Funds rate cut. However, consumer sentiment shows increasing skepticism towards 'official'...
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2024-07-14 16:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-24 18:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-25 21:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...