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2024-06-26 15:24:00 ET Summary Our base case scenario is for the U.S. economy to achieve a soft landing, but we still see a 35% probability of a recession over the next 12 months. Conditions are improving in most other developed economies, including in the eurozone, the UK, and Ja...
2024-06-26 14:06:37 ET Summary Shock inflation reports in Canada and Australia challenge previous expectations of controlled inflation. Market expectations for rate cuts in Canada have shifted following the hotter-than-expected CPI report. Rising inflation rates in Canada and ...
2024-06-26 11:54:00 ET Summary As we approach the end of the first half of 2024, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have risen by the mid-teens. However, the rally in the market has been extremely top-heavy and investor complacency is high given the myriad economic and geop...
2024-06-26 09:25:00 ET Summary Rates won’t come down as quickly as some had hoped, according to our CIO, William Davies, but further gains for equities are still possible this year. Heading into the second half of the year, we’re likely to see further divergence in c...
2024-06-26 07:15:00 ET Summary The dollar is firm, and the market is challenging the JPY160 level, which it has traded above in Europe. Asia Pacific bourses advanced, with Australia's market being the outlier. The Canadian dollar has been in a one-way market almost as much as ...
2024-06-26 06:50:00 ET Summary My impression is that the speculative market advance since 2009 ended last week. The current set of market conditions provides no historical examples when stocks have followed with decent returns. It’s worth noting that the average S&P...
2024-06-26 02:20:00 ET Summary Growth peaked on a quarter over quarter seasonally adjusted annual rate in Q3 last year at 4.9%. One area of uncertainty is the spend rate for the IRA and CHIPs Act. While we believe the current administration will keep spending high through the elec...
2024-06-26 01:34:12 ET Summary I'm staying invested due to bullish catalysts likely to come in the second half of 2024. I explain why I am not extending my hedges and what risks lie ahead for the index. I also present an alternative to balance these risks. Dear reade...
2024-06-25 15:00:00 ET Summary The economy clearly has slowed since the fourth quarter of 2023. Real GDP growth was only 1.3% in the first quarter of 2024, down from 3.4% in Q4 2023. Despite the slowing economy and lack of signs of a recession, the inflation story has clearly turn...
2024-06-25 14:50:00 ET Summary The US 10-2yr Treasury yield curve has been inverted (two-year yields higher than ten-year) for 23 months since July 2022. An inversion in this spread has preceded the onset of every recession in the last 50 years by an average of 10 months. Mark...
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2024-07-14 16:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-24 18:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-25 21:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...