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2023-09-26 02:12:00 ET Summary Nominal and inflation-adjusted yields haven’t been this high in about 15 years. Monetary policy is becoming quite restrictive, and ultimately, we think it will cause an economic slowdown, if not a mild recession. We see significant global ...
2023-09-18 23:00:00 ET Summary Investment-grade credit is currently offering impressive yields, with relatively less risk than other fixed income sectors. Given the very low probability of default for IG issuers, this higher-quality fixed income sector can possibly serve as a more...
2023-09-15 05:30:00 ET Summary In corporate credit, we evaluate convexity as the upside price potential compared to the downside price potential. Newly issued high yield bonds typically have limited upside price potential compared to downside price potential. Newly issued inve...
2023-09-15 03:30:00 ET Summary We believe a very high level of conviction that a recession will occur is necessary before investors start overweighting or underweighting equities. This is because changes in portfolio positioning can have significant negative or positive impacts on...
2023-09-13 12:19:00 ET Summary At June 30th, 2023, the S&P 500 was priced to return 1.65%/year over the next ten years. Given the rally since then, that return has risen to 2.03%/year. Currently the 10-year Treasury yields 4.29% [bond-equivalent yield, add 0.09% to annualize]....
2023-09-11 13:40:00 ET Summary This time of year always makes me reflect on the intense seasonality of our business. As the calendar turns to September, investors return from vacation, news flow ramps up, progress versus objectives is assessed even as planning for the coming year ...
2023-09-09 05:45:00 ET Summary With the highest interest rates in 22 years, bonds still have an important role to play in your portfolio, offering potential income, diversification, and capital preservation. With higher interest rates, fixed income now offers a generational opport...
2023-09-05 13:55:00 ET Summary Why the Fed may have one more hike up its sleeve. U.S. economic resiliency continues to confuse market watchers. Why the bond market has been getting the outlook for rates wrong. From upcoming central bank meetings to key economic data,...
2023-09-05 12:00:00 ET Summary Higher rates mean bond markets once more offer worthwhile real returns, while more challenging economic conditions are creating greater scope for active fixed-income security selection. Systematic fixed-income investing is an active approach that aim...
2023-09-05 11:30:00 ET Summary We up short-term sovereign bonds on attractive yields and downgrade credit in the long run. We stay cautious on long-term bonds even with the surge in yields. U.S. stocks recovered last week as 10-year yields slid from 16-year highs. Jobs data showed...
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ProShares announced today plans to liquidate and close one ProShares Trust ETF, based on an ongoing review of ProShares product offerings. Specifically, the following ETF will be liquidated and closed: The last day the fund will accept creation and redemption orders is April 22, 2024. Trading...
2024-03-18 05:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-08 08:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...