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2024-04-19 12:31:19 ET Summary The Fed has implemented backdoor quantitative easing through bank bailouts and subsidies in the overnight repo market, distorting the stock market. Promised rate cuts by the Fed may not materialize due to the record amount of Treasuries being sold an...
2024-04-19 07:45:00 ET Summary This year started on a strong note, with global equity markets gaining 8.9%. With better-than-expected economic data being published in the U.S., but also in Europe and China, market confidence grew, leading to a regional broadening of the bull marke...
2024-04-19 03:05:00 ET Summary The only aspect of consistency in the market’s outlook for rate cuts lately has been pushing the expected date forward. Recent history falls in line with this trend and September is now seen as the earliest date for policy easing. Fed fund...
2024-04-19 02:15:00 ET Summary The March CPI release was, in retrospect, the one that apparently convinced the Fed and the market that "disinflation has stalled." "Higher for longer" is now the interest rate mantra that is driving the market; it's made people nervous, so an equity...
2024-04-18 13:00:00 ET Summary While the US national debt exceeds $34 trillion, it isn't necessarily a problem for investors. The US has more assets than liabilities, and much of its debt is domestically owned. US Treasuries are among the safest, most liquid assets in the worl...
2024-04-18 07:45:00 ET Summary Amid all-time highs for gold and sticky inflation, we turn our eye to the concerning fiscal outlook for 2025. At the end of 2023, we suggested that the three major macro factors - monetary policy, government spending and global economic growth - woul...
2024-04-18 02:50:00 ET Summary The number of teens Age 16 to 19 counted as employed jumped by 224,000 to reach 5,832,000 from February to March 2024. The number of Americans Age 18 and 19 with jobs rose 161,000 from the previous month's seasonally-adjusted total to 3,756,000. ...
2024-04-17 14:10:46 ET Summary The S&P 500 has pulled back 4% from recent highs, but it's not due to geopolitical tension. Rates, the dollar, yen, and oil are not reflecting typical flight to safety characteristics. Markets are correcting for their massive blunder. T...
2024-04-17 07:25:00 ET Summary On Apr. 15, the market closed 3.7% below its previous peak - a drawdown that’s irrelevant in the grand scheme of market history for peak-to-trough declines. Every bear market starts with a relatively soft, innocuous slide, however, so there...
2024-04-17 05:00:00 ET Summary Inflation cooled substantially last year, but upside surprises in early 2024 for the US and Europe have many investors concerned that the path back to normal has hit a roadblock. Fighting inflation is a long game, and global central banks seem to be ...
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2024-06-14 20:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-14 03:15:00 ET The biggest investment mistakes you make are likely to come from situations where you don't fully understand the asset you are buying. That's actually easy to do in the exchange-traded fund (ETF) space, because the logic behind many of the ETFs out there is complex an...
2024-06-13 04:15:00 ET There are very few investments in the world that are perfect unto themselves. Most can benefit from being paired with others. That's particularly true in the exchange-traded fund (ETF) universe, where many of these pooled investment products are designed to offer nich...