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2024-07-06 06:50:00 ET Summary Job growth has slowed from the frenetic pace after the lockdowns and labor shortages, back to the normal pace of the Good Times. The total number of payroll jobs at employers rose to 158.6 million, a year-over-year increase of 2.61 million jobs. ...
2024-07-06 06:05:00 ET Summary The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. The BLS reported a gain of 206k jobs, which was above expectations. Halfway through the year, the total jobs from the Household Survey represent just 1....
2024-07-06 05:10:48 ET Summary Two-year Treasury yields dropped 14 bps this week, to the low (4.60%) since March 27th. Bonds have turned notably receptive to indications of economic softening. With the Fed signaling the importance of labor market performance, markets this week...
2024-07-06 03:38:00 ET Summary We received a few more data points this week, validating the increasingly consensus view that the economy is slowing. Attention now shifts to the corporate sector, with the second quarter earnings season getting underway next week. It would be ni...
2024-07-06 01:12:43 ET Summary On a MACRO level, this economic scene remains one with a wide dispersion between the potential outcomes. Election volatility - History shows that the S&P 500 moves higher regardless of who wins the presidential election. Analysts scramble to ...
2024-07-05 21:10:00 ET Summary Despite economic uncertainty, markets rallied in the first half of 2024, driven by expected Fed rate cuts and surging AI stocks. The second half of the year is likely to be largely characterized by potential Fed rate cuts, bond market stabilization, ...
2024-07-05 21:00:00 ET Summary Monthly payrolls growth weakened slightly on the month, and there were downward revisions to previous months. Total non-farm payrolls increased by 206,000 in June, down from 218,000 last month, which itself was downwardly revised from 272,000. Al...
2024-07-05 13:35:00 ET Summary The U-3 unemployment rate increased to 4.1 percent in June 2024. The Sahm Rule, developed by former Fed economist Claudia Sahm, is designed to identify the start of a recession using changes in the total unemployment rate. If the labor force grow...
2024-07-05 12:29:01 ET Summary The June jobs report shows a weakening labor market with a rising unemployment rate and slowing job growth. Initial jobless claims and continuing claims are at or near one-year highs, indicating increased layoffs. Unemployment among college-educa...
2024-07-05 12:15:36 ET Summary June job report weaker than previous months, with downward revisions and low private payrolls. Unemployment rate rises to 4.1%, signaling potential economic changes and increasing odds of recession. Yield curve steepening as unemployment rate inc...
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2024-07-20 06:20:00 ET I've long maintained that exchange-traded funds (ETFs) offer investors one of the best ways to make money over the long term. They can provide diversification, allowing you to own a large number of stocks in one basket. They come in all varieties -- whatever your inve...
2024-07-14 16:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-29 06:30:00 ET The S&P 500 index is near all-time highs, pushing the yield on the index down to a scant 1.3% or so. You can get a yield that's more than twice as high, at 3.4%, with Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (NYSEMKT: SCHD) . But if you have $1,000 or more to i...