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2024-04-27 05:50:00 ET Summary Quarterly inflation data surprised to the upside and led the market to brace for a very unpleasant MoM print today. Thankfully, it was due to upward revisions, primarily to January, with the March figure coming in line with initial expectations. ...
2024-04-27 04:30:27 ET Summary The Semiconductor Index surged 9.9%, more than recovering from last week's 9.2% drubbing. The earnings picture was mixed. Alphabet and Microsoft, of course, knocked it out of the park. The Bank of Japan just can't stop playing with fire. Rates we...
2024-04-27 04:10:00 ET Summary Elevated inflation and strong activity and jobs numbers have pushed market expectations for the timing of the first interest rate cut to December. We still see an opportunity for a September rate cut. Nonetheless, the Federal Reserve will re...
2024-04-26 16:43:00 ET Summary Momentum strategies outperformed in Q1 2024 due to strong investor sentiment and economic strength, with the MSCI All Country World Index rising by 8.3%. Russell Investments' Factor Portfolios like Global Large Cap Growth, Momentum, and Quality outpe...
2024-04-26 14:46:58 ET Summary Major US indices down for the month, NASDAQ-100 hit with a 7.10% drawdown. In this article, I example the "usual suspects," or the big three metrics used to approximate the trajectory of the US economy. These three metrics are: inflation, GDP, an...
2024-04-26 13:08:46 ET Summary Inflation is accelerating, with core PCE and PCE Supercore rising at higher rates. Consumer inflation expectations are increasing. The current policy stance may need to shift from rate cuts to rate hikes if inflation continues to rise. The ...
2024-04-26 11:29:19 ET Summary Changes in Fedspeak are anticipated as the latest GDP print came in lower than expected while inflation has inched up. Interest rates are set to remain unchanged, however. While the sub-trend growth along with weaker consumer sentiment and company le...
2024-04-26 08:35:00 ET Summary In Q1 2024, consumers spent very vigorously on services at the fastest growth rate since 2021, adjusted for inflation, but not so vigorously on goods. Dragging on GDP were the trade deficit, which worsened sharply on a majestic surge of imports, and ...
2024-04-26 05:10:00 ET Summary Markets have overreacted to Thursday's first quarter GDP stats; quarterly numbers are by nature volatile. The first estimate of Q1/24 GDP growth came in weaker than expected (1.6% vs 2.5%). On a quarterly basis, the deflator grew at a 3.7% annual...
2024-04-26 04:20:00 ET Summary The Fed recently released the March money supply numbers, and the story hasn't changed. M2 surged from early 2020 through early 2022, thanks to $6 trillion of deficit spending that was effectively monetized. The bulge in M2 rose to a high of $4.7...
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2024-04-14 21:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-25 22:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-15 20:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...