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2024-05-13 06:57:54 ET Summary Market direction in the coming week will hinge on CPI and PPI reports, with investors hoping to see progress on the inflation front, triggering a potential Fed Funds rate cut. However, consumer sentiment shows increasing skepticism towards 'official'...
2024-05-13 04:38:18 ET Summary The Treasury Yield Curve and the S&P 500 Index have been coupled for one week, decoupled for one week, and neutral for one week. The SDI, TDI, and Uptrend indicators all show optimistic results for the market. The bond market is overdue for n...
2024-05-12 16:00:00 ET Summary The S&P500 rebound reached 5239, just 25 points from the all-time high. The 5265 top may seem like a big hurdle, but the price action in that area in March/April suggests it can easily be broken. There could be a dip mid-week when an exhausti...
2024-05-12 11:41:48 ET Summary Investors are focused on the Dow Jones winning streak and are ignoring the upcoming CPI report for April 2024, scheduled for release on Wednesday. The CPI report will provide insight into the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate policy. Ener...
2024-05-12 07:56:00 ET Summary The scorecard remains tight and, in my view, tilted to a more neutral setting. I see nine pros and nine cons, with six segments classified as "neutral". The Administration's budget includes plans to increase taxes by $7 trillion, which could have sig...
2024-05-12 07:08:03 ET Summary Since the Great Recession began, the Federal Reserve has changed how it functions and, consequently, has changed how commercial banks operate. Before, commercial banks adjusted their reserve positions through the Federal Funds markets, but now this m...
2024-05-12 07:00:00 ET Summary Hotter-than-expected inflation has put the Fed on a higher for longer policy path. The CPI has been rising consistently at roughly 3.5% since summer 2022, posing a disinflationary concern. The CPI has been on a linear upward trajectory for 19 mon...
2024-05-11 12:46:54 ET Summary After worrisome CPI inflation figures in March, that prompted hawkishness from the Fed, the April figures are particularly significant to look out for. Forecasts don't indicate reason for optimism though. Even as gasoline inflation can come off, the ...
2024-05-11 02:00:00 ET Summary One of the cardinal tenets of investment management is that nothing stays the same forever. Mean reversion will at some point bring the high-flyers down to earth, and when that happens, you want to have other positions in your portfolio that offer so...
2024-05-10 13:26:58 ET Summary Consumer sentiment dropped to a recession-like level, with current conditions also falling to levels associated with recessions since 1978. Inflation expectations increased, with one-year expectations at their highest level since November 2023 and a ...
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2024-06-14 20:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 06:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 21:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...