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"You never change things by fighting the existing reality. To change something, build a new model that makes the existing model obsolete." - Buckminister Fuller I don't think that most people, or institutions, or money managers, have grasped, yet, just what is happening. The new 5G wirel...
Forget the touts and spins. Forget all of the hypes tossed about by someone that has an axe to grind. Forget the myriad of people in the press that are engaged in trying to get you to do something for their own benefit. Let's drill down and look at the facts. *All data from Bloomberg The...
The goal laid out for reducing the enormous balance sheet build-up of the Federal Reserve was presented in much the same way any-and-all prospective Fed policy dictates are. i.e., "We got this!" The problem that has been inherent in nearly everyone is they seem to have anything but. The Fed'...
As recent weeks pass, it seems the investor sentiment measures are increasingly indicating an investor that is becoming more bearish even as the market continues to trend higher this year. The current investment environment seems like one where the market is climbing the proverbial "wall of wo...
My main writing duties have been cleaning up my manuscript. One of the sections I was looking at discussed how the manuscript text was mainly written by early 2019, and I am not attempting to have it capturing the latest data. One scenario that was obviously embarrassing would be a recession s...
Big numbers tend to be resistance for the key benchmark: back in 2014, the S&P 500 traded through 2,000 and then the oil collapse started in Q4 '14 and the benchmark traded back through 2,000 on the downside and really didn't trade back and remain above 2,000 until Q1 '16. Then again in ...
I've held the view that Chinese finance has been at the epicenter of international market unease. The U.S./China trade war was not the predominant global risk. However, it has had the potential to become a catalyst for Chinese financial instability. And there remains a high probability for an ...
Originally published October 19, 2019 I feel a bit like the proverbial guy that asks, "Besides that, Mrs. Lincoln, how did you like the play?" in trying to discuss the week ahead without knowing the results of the UK Parliament's decision on the new deal negotiated between Prime Minister ...
In April of 2018, I wrote an article discussing the 10-reasons the bull market had ended. "The backdrop of the market currently is vastly different than it was during the 'taper tantrum' in 2015-2016, or during the corrections following the end of QE1 and QE2. In those previous cases, th...
Introduction In this post I want to sum up the nowcast, which to be fair is becoming comventional wisdom, as well as update a diffusion model of the Index of Leading Indicators that hasn’t been relevant in years! The nowcast - producers vs. consumers The NBER has written that they...
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Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...