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Bond investors have eagerly awaited news on the proposed timing of the Fed’s plans to begin tapering and have been looking for hints of when rates may start to rise. The combination of low interest rates and signs of rising inflation have investors concerned. The prospects ...
Researchers have long compared the performance of equal- and market cap-weighted equity strategies, but no clear consensus has emerged on which is preferable. Of the 18 worst stock market crashes between 1926 to 2021, some, like the 1987 plunge, were short in duration while others wer...
The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model has reduced the estimate for third-quarter GDP from over 6% to 3.7%. Inflation increased too early in the expansion and real growth is declining. A 3.7% increase in real GDP still leaves the economy with a 2.2% gap relative to the pre-COVID trend. ...
Equity markets were broadly higher in August, propelled by a late-month resurgence in risk appetite. The FTSE Emerging index rose 2.8% in for all of August, and along with Japan and the US, outperformed the FTSE Developed index gain of 2.6%. Small caps enjoyed a similar renaissanc...
Spending generally increases with income, but not in the naïve lockstep fashion described in economics textbooks. With less debt, people will feel confident spending more. When unemployment, inflation and interest rates are all low, consumers are pretty happy. For furth...
The market continues to post impressive gains, and a "stay the course" mantra could certainly be the way most investors play Q4. Despite this bullish momentum, there are plenty of reasons to be concerned about equity valuations. In this piece, I will explore the areas that readers sho...
Initial claims for regular state unemployment insurance totaled 310,000 for the week ending September 4, a drop of 35,000 from the previous week’s revised tally of 345,000. The number of ongoing claims for state unemployment programs totaled 2.663 million for the week ending Au...
Unfilled job openings have been spiking from record to record, and in July spiked to a new record. People, for whatever reason, cannot find work they would accept under the conditions offered, or they are still not looking for work, or will never look for work again since they have de...
Once again, the latest release of the Employment Situation by BLS, which indicated that only 235,000 jobs were created in August, has demonstrated how difficult forecasting is. Overall, employment of those 16 years and older dropped about 364,000, with professional and service occupat...
We stay tactically overweight European equities with two key events on the horizon: a European Central Bank meeting and the German election. U.S. jobs growth in August was far below expectations. Yet, we caution that seasonality could be at play and a revision upwards is possible. ...
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Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...