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With all the debate about the persistence of inflation, one natural thing to ask is: what is the market pricing? The “breakeven inflation rate” on an inflation-indexed bond (in this case, U.S. TIPS) is that future rate of inflation that gives the same total return as nom...
With today's release of the August CPI, it looks on the surface as if inflation is moderating, much as the Fed has been hoping. Looking deeper, though, I think it still pays to be skeptical - especially since the belief that this inflation flareup is merely transitory has been fully e...
Replacing regular bonds in your portfolio requires taking some non-traditional positions. Short-term TIPS are quite attractive due to rising inflation and can become an important asset in the non-stock part of your portfolio. VTIP is a convenient and inexpensive instrument to own ...
Bond investors have eagerly awaited news on the proposed timing of the Fed’s plans to begin tapering and have been looking for hints of when rates may start to rise. The combination of low interest rates and signs of rising inflation have investors concerned. The prospects ...
Uncertainty remains elevated for the economy, inflation, monetary policy, and the path of the pandemic as the final quarter of 2021 approaches. Leading the winners in this year’s bond market race: junk bonds and inflation-indexed government securities. A key factor for bond...
Risk-adjusted performance continued to rise in August for the Global Market Index. Sharpe ratios in global markets generally are elevated. GMI represents a theoretical benchmark for the “optimal” portfolio. For further details see: Major Asset Classes | Aug...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market (GMI) ticked up in August, reaching an annualized 6.1%, slightly above the previous month’s estimate. Despite the comparatively high GMI forecast, the current estimate remains well below the index’s realized risk premium fo...
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF (NYSEARCA:STIP) - $0.7928. 30-Day SEC Yield of 10.69% as of Aug 31. Payable Sep 08; for shareholders of record Sep 02; ex-div Sep 01. For further details see: iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF declares monthly distribution of $0.7928
The winning streak for American shares rolled on in August. US stocks rose for a seventh straight month and posted the strongest gain for the major asset classes. US bonds also lost ground in August. The Bloomberg Aggregate Bond Index slipped 0.2%, the first monthly decline for the be...
The U.S. Treasury is preparing for coupon cuts, but the impact on private supply will be nuanced. Without significant coupon cuts, the percent of debt outstanding in T-Bills will fall well below the Treasury recommended 15% to 20%. The actions of the Federal Reserve’s Asset...
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2024-05-14 08:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-05 08:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-23 18:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...