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I don't pretend to know how the Russia/Ukraine war will play out, but I can shed some light on how it has impacted the U.S. and Eurozone economies. Limiting Russia's ability to use the SWIFT payment system is a big factor reducing liquidity overseas. Whenever the market gets very ...
As the world reels from the crisis, the blowback is rippling across the world economy and markets. The current risk premia analysis implicitly recommends managing expectations down for GMI and other global multi-asset-class portfolios. The mean reversion factor is estimated as the...
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF (NYSEARCA:STIP) - $0.1606. 30-Day SEC Yield of 4.02% as of Feb. 25. Payable Mar 07; for shareholders of record Mar 02; ex-div Mar 01. For further details see: iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF declares monthly distribution of $0.1606
Russia is a significant producer and exporter of energy commodities and critical food products such as wheat. While blocking Russia's war funding stream may be necessary, investors would benefit from realistically understanding the extensive inflationary impact of sanctions. An im...
We are tactically upgrading equities as we see greater clarity on the Ukraine conflict and reduced risk of central banks slamming the brakes to curb inflation. The S&P 500 slid into correction territory as Russia invaded Ukraine last week, but rebounded afterward. Bond prices show...
Russia-Ukraine crisis: What's Putin's next move? A full regime change in Ukraine may be tougher than Putin thinks. Bond market surprise: Why didn't long bonds react to Russian attack? For further details see: Russia-Ukraine Crisis: What's Putin's Next Move?
In 2022, we have extreme uncertainty around the fundamental economic environment, the policy response, inflation and the response of policymakers. Although we are cautiously optimistic on the inflationary trajectory, when you look at the relatively low rate environment still, you ...
From a monetary perspective, the U.S. faces a gigantic, two-sided problem: a huge surplus of money and a lack of demand for all that money. Inflation expectations have now reached their highest point since the introduction of TIPS in 1997: 2.9%. I will be pleased if the Fed become...
Non-U.S. markets, including EM, DM, and Asia, are outperforming the U.S. markets after underperforming last year. After slightly underperforming growth last year, value is where the money is flowing. With the economy still in growth mode, cyclical stocks should do better than defe...
Geopolitical headlines will have helped, but front-end rates have more reasons to ease back from extremes. In the US, the Fed mulling MBS sales offers an alternate tightening avenue, and in the UK, the BoE's pushback against aggressive pricing should find a more prominent platform nex...
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2024-05-14 08:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-05 08:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-23 18:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...