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Summary With an almost 60 trillion-dollar sovereign debt market, the case for ESG integration remains unclear. Market practices that target the reduction of aggregate ESG risk may have the perverse impact of increasing funding gaps and thus decreasing the effectiveness and impact of sov...
Summary A day after the Fed’s announcement, the ECB raised its key interest rate 0.5% to 2.5% on Thursday. This was the fifth straight increase in the ECB’s key interest rate. Bond investors are fully expecting inflation to cool off, and that the Fed’s key interest ...
Summary After a year best forgotten, 2023 has started out with a bang. January was a strong month that gave equity investors a timely relief rally. While this was a welcomed development, I am concerned that equity prices are getting too disconnected from reality. We have a challenging m...
Summary We don’t see major central bank rate cuts this year, so we prefer to earn income in short-term bonds, high-grade credit and agency mortgage-backed securities. U.S. stocks rose and Treasury yields were mostly steady. U.S. Q4 GDP was resilient but declining consumer spendin...
Summary 2022 has been a volatile year for credit markets, but a closer inspection highlights some striking differences. Yields on EM HY reached much higher levels (close to 14% at its peak), and spiked much faster, than their Euro and US equivalents, which peaked at around 9% in Q4 2022...
Summary UnitedHealth Group has been making important governance changes in response to investor feedback, with sustainability a growing priority. As sustainability has increased in importance, UNH has revamped and elevated board oversight of ESG. The establishment of a corporate sus...
Summary Engaging a company on strategy can sometimes lead to concrete changes. In an October 2022 engagement with Cellnex, we encouraged the company to embrace a fiscally responsible strategy in order to protect the business in a high interest rate environment. Cellnex’s resp...
Summary Markets may be underestimating the stickiness of inflation and central banks’ determination to beat it - and what that means for growth and corporate earnings potential. We favor fixed income and credit over equities, and investment grade over high yield. Should infla...
Summary Recession foretold in developed markets (DM), a pause in central bank rate hikes and China’s reopening help shape 2023 and reinforce our tactical views. European equities led DM stocks higher. Surprisingly weak U.S. services data spurred bets for Federal Reserve rate cuts...
Summary As central banks battled inflation, interest rates soared and recession fears mounted. Now, central banks must slow their pace of tightening and carefully calibrate a soft landing. We address the challenges of a global slowdown, the benefits of higher yields and strategies f...
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2024-06-03 07:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 23:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-05 01:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...